TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b76…4f2d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$42.51
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.75
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$8.37
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$5.81
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.21
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$27.64
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.81
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$5.88
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$8.45
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+168.4%+$33.68
First Blood in Game 1?backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+239.8%+$47.7
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)backed Shanghai Haigang FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+162.6%+$32.51
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+223.1%+$43.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Molde FK (-1.5)backed Sandefjord Fotball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick17cpaid+525%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)backed Macarthur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.