TailMyPicks
Market

Mls · resolved market

Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$334,859

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,859 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes43c125,946$53,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,925.055250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No57c79,990$45,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,996.131070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+56.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed No55c63,980$34,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,070.5115647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No57c53,340$30,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,936.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe899…19babacked Yes45c22,000$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,899.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes45c13,333$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0008946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No56c9,637$5,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,255.2725149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Yes45c9,617$4,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,327.791233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes45c9,228$4,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,167.0612451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes41c8,685$3,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,560.874035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c5,876$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.573,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes4c5,000$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed No50c4,576$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2883100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Yes45c3,630$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No57c2,540$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.352941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0755147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Yes45c2,308$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c2,185$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.9947748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked No74c1,866$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.6914761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes45c1,358$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.411,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes42c1,306$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.977031.4%22 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Yes45c1,205$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.07520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No55c1,000$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.178661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes48c860$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.7220648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes45c776.17$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.7526050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No61c748.08$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.0918967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No60c739.84$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.091485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+50.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.054843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes43c699.57$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.822751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes38c693.71$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.822646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes44c652.27$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes46c636.5$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5142947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2586155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes4c536.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5231834.9%111 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No58c530$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.64252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Yes44c470.45$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-76.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes14c458.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.421,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No57c453.9$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Yes3c399.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133330.3%10 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes49c345$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.7737649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No54c337.99$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7615144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No73c301.69$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1154949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x718e…c203backed No51c258.94$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+129.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.555750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.591553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes49c250$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes6c249.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.84933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96f…7883backed No51c247.81$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc04f…bca2backed Yes50c226.55$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No52c225$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce3…9040backed Yes50c220.02$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes48c220$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.88446.4%39 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81c…367ebacked Yes50c214.58$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x624c…25f3backed No51c213.63$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcc…7e0bbacked Yes50c198.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6799…0ecebacked Yes50c197.39$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f17…bf48backed No51c191.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d7e…42babacked No51c187.63$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes38c183.54$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7126346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f9d…fbdcbacked Yes50c181.24$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe755…644ebacked Yes50c180.88$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No53c180$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.624351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8ca…b357backed Yes50c175.31$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ac…914abacked No51c165.58$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf85…2016backed No51c165.32$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe265…9c84backed No51c164.64$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No51c155.77$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3313942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No57c154$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.225250%26 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes44c153.34$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.474259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.530735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No80c136.33$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8213950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes42c130.95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Yes50c130$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-52.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Yes44c125.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.411947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes12c119.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3592346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Yes43c109.58$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.122142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Yes46c108.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes45c105.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.559740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed No57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.261145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No56c103.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.943426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes49c102.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Yes46c100.21$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes45c98.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.071637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes14c96.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5539567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Yes44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Yes26c84.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.135349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No55c83.11$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.410648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No73c81.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6896756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x068a…76f0backed Yes14c80.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked No74c79.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.541650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No51c76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.888552.9%45 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.