Mls · resolved market
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe67f5970307278719900bd86f91f7f115d9a6b9b5f8b155d17a91cf935b441cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,856 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 30c | 75,000$22,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,150.01 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 70c | 38,865$27,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,231.18 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 27c | 32,202$8,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,373.21 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 19,137$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500.45 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 71c | 11,241$7,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,968.4 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 8,291$5,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,287.87 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 70c | 6,891$4,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…77f2backed No | 69c | 6,540$4,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 4,960$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.7 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 4,726$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.2 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 72c | 3,655$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 73c | 3,500$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed No | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 47c | 1,928$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.07 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 1,550$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.69 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.81 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 72c | 1,220$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.03 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 70c | 1,000$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 758.95$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.65 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 70c | 700$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 499.79$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.74 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 460$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.84 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 450$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 13c | 411.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 329.08$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 292.62$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 29c | 255.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.75 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 35c | 230.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 73c | 225$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.25 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 32c | 218.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.13 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 72c | 180$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 28c | 177.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 60c | 174.79$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 30c | 166.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.82 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked No | 16c | 158.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 32c | 154.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 154$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 150$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 70c | 142$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 73c | 125$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 73c | 120$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 73c | 115$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 60c | 112.05$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 27c | 110.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 73c | 110$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 100.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 30c | 100.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68f…3211backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 73c | 90$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 73c | 90$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 72c | 85.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 23c | 85.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 33c | 76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 20c | 68.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3203backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 70c | 63.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…a8a2backed Yes | 80c | 62.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 59.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed No | 67c | 59.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 67c | 58.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 55c | 55.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 70c | 51.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 29c | 51.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 70c | 51.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 50.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 70c | 49.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 26c | 47.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 37c | 46.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed No | 71c | 45.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked No | 72c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?No won
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.