TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdb44…a8a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.51
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.77
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$85.7
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$53.8
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.7%+$12.45
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$131.97
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$43.28
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.4%+$83.26
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$75.31
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.2%+$19.78
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+63%+$13.19
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27.82
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+93.9%+$33.63
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.2%+$171.99
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$91.95
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$49.33
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$124.62
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72.7%+$53.79
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+70.7%+$52.32
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.19
Colombia to score first vs. Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.08
Argentina to score first vs. Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.26
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$107.65
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$255.56
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$202.79
Colombia to score first vs. Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$86.65
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$103.4
Egypt to score first vs. Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$95.12
Will Morocco win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+93.8%+$91.68
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$84.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.85
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92%+$121.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.