Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bd91a3458cdb4e5ca8bb610395929c6d951de858797c3dbbb2230a32ccf359c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $549,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $638,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes | 50c | 82,523$41,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,036.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 50c | 71,400$35,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,700 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 50c | 52,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,000 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 34,012$16,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,423.33 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 33c | 30,761$10,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,270.31 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed No | 49c | 22,222$10,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,888.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 50c | 20,200$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,100 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 47c | 19,110$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,109.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…e547backed Yes | 75c | 19,101$14,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 15,189$7,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300.26 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 48c | 15,175$7,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,283.9 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 51c | 15,000$7,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400.74 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 13,961$5,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300.93 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 12,219$6,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,126.07 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 48c | 11,686$5,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,609.09 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 11,615$5,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,814.75 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 52c | 7,680$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.4 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 50c | 7,013$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,506.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 50c | 6,825$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,412.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 68c | 5,850$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 48c | 5,500$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.97 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 47c | 5,050$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.3 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 50c | 4,600$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Yes | 48c | 4,150$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.99 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.68 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8394…b722backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.99 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 22c | 3,846$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.64 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 53c | 3,672$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.24 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 52c | 3,527$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.48 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 50c | 2,934$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed No | 55c | 2,923$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Yes | 74c | 2,700$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 48c | 2,605$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…291bbacked Yes | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 50c | 2,379$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.07 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9913…21cfbacked Yes | 47c | 2,133$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked Yes | 45c | 1,833$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 49c | 1,747$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.53 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf05…9bacbacked Yes | 74c | 1,696$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 46c | 1,631$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.35 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.62 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 52c | 1,477$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…68c0backed Yes | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 1,255$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.66 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 31c | 1,108$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.7 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 8c | 1,100$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 37c | 1,079$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.71 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Yes | 47c | 1,018$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 55c | 1,018$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.27 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 52c | 959.56$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 50c | 880.53$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.53 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 26c | 877.38$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 49c | 811$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.37 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 52c | 803.72$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 775.5$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.74 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 46c | 695.65$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9f…b8cebacked No | 50c | 690$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.86 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 45c | 665.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 645.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.41 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 31c | 645.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.33 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 50c | 624.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 590$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…7e4cbacked Yes | 52c | 581.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb301…79ddbacked Yes | 51c | 573.59$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 46c | 545$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.3 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 50c | 540$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 52c | 503.85$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.85 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…b131backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked No | 55c | 499.96$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed No | 48c | 499.92$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 499.26$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…a210backed Yes | 50c | 495.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 30c | 493.45$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.45 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 49c | 489.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 43c | 436.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.98 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 52c | 425.43$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 49c | 408.94$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.41 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 49c | 404$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.04 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 51c | 392.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 51c | 384$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.12 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 43c | 369.09$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.38 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.