Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dbd90cc5b9c3cc4133aa51b3de65a4a548f3c7e05733c1fde4ce5d4705d334c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eaa…c521backed Yes | 29c | 22,151$6,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,416.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a4…edd0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 8,798$6,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.34 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 56c | 6,800$3,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.98 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 6,331$4,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.73 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 5,530$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.79 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 44c | 4,608$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.55 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 4,240$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.69 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…7f0dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,146$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 75c | 2,706$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.5 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c1…caf8backed Yes | 18c | 2,505$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.91 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 78c | 1,999$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.82 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 1c | 1,826$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 1,657$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.46 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 25c | 1,498$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 26c | 1,350$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.92 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 15c | 1,290$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 79c | 1,155$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 1,115$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.22 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 75c | 1,071$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.75 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked No | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc677…414bbacked Yes | 26c | 788.88$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 13c | 722.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 29c | 693.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…87e0backed Yes | 11c | 685.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 673.48$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.58 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 24c | 638.08$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.14 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 75c | 498.73$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.68 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27bf…f0a8backed No | 76c | 455.43$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4c…a6a1backed Yes | 8c | 418.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…14dbbacked Yes | 25c | 401.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked No | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 40c | 373.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 363$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 4c | 361.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 41c | 344.88$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.26 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 341$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 75c | 335$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 25c | 291.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 28c | 280.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…8621backed Yes | 17c | 280.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 275$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.26 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 75c | 246$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…0cbdbacked Yes | 23c | 193.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed No | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 22c | 130.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 21c | 129.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 76c | 117.02$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…9716backed No | 57c | 112.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb301…79ddbacked Yes | 28c | 108.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 107$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…e00bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…01cbbacked Yes | 25c | 99.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a0…f9d1backed Yes | 22c | 95.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 73c | 93.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 70c | 93.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 25c | 91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…6cd6backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 26c | 88.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 87.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 27c | 86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 13c | 84.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd019…4ee0backed Yes | 45c | 84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes | 25c | 81.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 24c | 70.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 76c | 69.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…8bc8backed Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 75c | 61.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…850abacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…e1b2backed Yes | 37c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…f00dbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 64c | 54.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Yes | 24c | 52.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed No | 76c | 52.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 60c | 50.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.