TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e7b…9716

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST6134.4%21 W · 40 L-11.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
Tennis — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38.74
Set Handicap: Boulter (-1.5) vs Kasintseva (+1.5)backed Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$138.74
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Katie Boulter vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+212.5%+$212.52
Brasilia: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Franco Roncadellibacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Kayla Daybacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.59
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Marina Stakusic vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewbacked Marina Stakusic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Brasilia: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Elmer Moellerbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hersonissos: Lorenzo Carboni vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Lorenzo Carboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$44.9
Thionville: Clement Tabur vs Kei Nishikoribacked Kei Nishikori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+138.1%+$40.59
Hersonissos: Robin Bertrand vs Adria Soriano Barrerabacked Adria Soriano Barrera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$149.99
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$54.64
Brasilia: Gustavo Heide vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Thionville: Roman Safiullin vs Timofey Skatovbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$26.17
Hersonissos: Menelaos Efstathiou vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Menelaos Efstathiou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+257.1%+$154.29
Merida Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$61.98
ATX Open: Taylor Townsend vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Merida Open Akron: Jasmine Paolini vs Cristina Bucsabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.85
Mexican Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$220.53
Merida Open Akron: Jasmine Paolini vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$179.99
Mexican Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+156.4%+$119.28
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baezbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Merida Open Akron: Zeynep Sonmez vs Cristina Bucsabacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
ATX Open: Rebeka Masarova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$112.2
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$101.67
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+94.7%+$47.36
Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H Moneylinebacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$28.78
Nuggets vs. Jazz: 1H Moneylinebacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+49.4%+$34.24
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.7%+$98.38
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+60.6%+$76.19
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.84
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$102.14
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+91.3%+$114.14
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$98.99
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+127.3%+$114.71
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$36.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$34.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.66
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.