TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$321,118
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$331,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,118 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c195,148$101,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,816.682450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under48c105,000$50,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,4006155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c30,059$14,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,230.032,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Over50c19,717$9,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,858.648743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under48c18,924$9,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,083.6919549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c11,933$5,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,847.1722348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6990…6185backed Under49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under49c10,204$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9409952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.9720544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Over52c5,584$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680.321650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over63c3,600$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.963053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under48c3,400$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6321233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under48c3,333$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.847444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c3,297$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.3533148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c3,016$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.2898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over53c2,854$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.889054.4%49 W · 41 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20037250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under49c2,347$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1502552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.991650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over61c1,600$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.572152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over55c1,560$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.573158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31d5…157dbacked Under50c1,380$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over52c888$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.244575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under50c840$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over51c780.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.545862.1%36 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c694.26$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.9331051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under62c589.4$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.4334643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Under49c540$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over38c523.21$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.3229862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under48c520$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over68c441.59$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5921650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over55c399.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.992958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f7…6213backed Over44c343.18$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Over55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14711429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Over56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1322673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over51c284.31$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.314254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under9c274$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.666535.4%23 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under47c270$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.925556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1254148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over51c245.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.13754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under38c231.3$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221090%9 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.48per pick42cpaid+123.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over51c215.69$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6915459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52fe…effdbacked Over52c201.92$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1029440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7416526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Under71c200$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1416860.3%41 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over65c200$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over51c199.97$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.997740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Over43c199.97$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.982941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Over51c199.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.982584%21 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.084858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under47c194.08$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2723244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c192.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Over39c188.38$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Over60c187.42$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.712075%15 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+48.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+136.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4117058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under50c169.33$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.326245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under42c143.08$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.441,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under43c138.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under49c133.58$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.463748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c130$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.734553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.411454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.410252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.412754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under47c120$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.411448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over56c119.4$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.986349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over50c118.81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4133144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c113.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4916340.5%66 W · 97 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa57c…22b8backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.382347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+77.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4714155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478242.7%35 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5226747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick24cpaid+44.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5011348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1123…9e89backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d5…cac5backed Over64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over60c98.79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.754551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc67b…dc73backed Over51c98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.021040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Over62c96.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1538739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Under59c93.22$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552576%19 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over51c91.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.646035%21 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.