Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x837f387f8a245fc3c9a066843c33de529743222a9b66de03e2d5c1aa6ab36092
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 10,484$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.93 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 23c | 2,570$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.64 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 77c | 1,988$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.24 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 69c | 1,897$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.07 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x638f…d9afbacked Over | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 31c | 1,244$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.5 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 13c | 688.04$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked Under | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 23c | 393$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 77c | 354$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 323.12$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 89 | 65.2%58 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 243.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 24c | 222.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Under | 51c | 206.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Over | 49c | 206.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Over | 77c | 143.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 30c | 142.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 71c | 139.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 25c | 135.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 77c | 130.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed Over | 77c | 130.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 72c | 105.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 23c | 73.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Over | 77c | 65.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 77c | 65.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 72c | 58.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 76c | 55.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over | 71c | 49.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 71c | 44.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 70c | 42.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +14.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…5712backed Over | 74c | 37.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635f…6be6backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Over | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 77c | 13.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.