Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6522d219ac6b392ad9f175e5a2a67effd935a5d12d8b65c6883c3098463c3896
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- US Sassuolo Calcioof Atalanta BC, US Sassuolo Calcio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 78c | 2,699$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.82 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Atalanta BC | 21c | 999.27$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.85 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Atalanta BC | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Atalanta BC | 21c | 426$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Atalanta BC | 24c | 354.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Atalanta BC | 17c | 300.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Atalanta BC | 18c | 190$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…1b40backed Atalanta BC | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +74%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Atalanta BC | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Atalanta BC | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…f79dbacked Atalanta BC | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +133.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 78c | 82.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Atalanta BC | 19c | 75.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked US Sassuolo Calcio | 76c | 69.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.5wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 72c | 17.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 73c | 17.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed US Sassuolo Calcio | 77c | 14.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Atalanta BC won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)Atalanta BC won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.