TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb672…456f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Marozsan (-1.5) vs Agut (+1.5)backed Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Baez (-1.5) vs Tseng (+1.5)backed Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+91.8%+$206.44
Hersonissos: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Dimitar Kuzmanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5)backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$78.65
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.36
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jiri Leheckabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+46.6%+$47.03
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Brooksby (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43.41
Set Handicap: Draper (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)backed Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Dubai Tennis Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jack Draperbacked Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Mensik (-1.5) vs Popyrin (+1.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+89.9%+$53.96
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5)backed Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35.72
Dubai Tennis Championships: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)backed Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+94.6%+$18.92
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+60.3%+$12.05
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5)backed Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+60.4%+$30.2
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$14
Medvedev vs. Wawrinka: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+94.1%+$25.4
Dubai Tennis Championships: Otto Virtanen vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+70.5%+$14.1
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$46.67
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Shevchenko (+1.5)backed Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Dubai Tennis Championships: Alexander Shevchenko vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+138.9%+$62.49
Dubai Tennis Championships: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$86.21
Spread: Göztepe SK (-1.5)backed Göztepe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)backed Beşiktaş JK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Sporting CP vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)backed Trabzonspor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+144.9%+$318.53
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$35
FC Porto vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$37.97
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Livingston FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$24.41
Go Ahead Eagles vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+121.2%+$61.22
Gaziantep FK vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+120.7%+$95.73
FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$39.12
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+71.5%+$338.11
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$31.22
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$337.73
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+112.8%+$74.29
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.33
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$897.01
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.27
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+55.9%+$370.44
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$106.42
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$60.12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+156.6%+$140.68
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$133.21
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+122.2%+$70.89
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$342.16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$18.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Metz: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Monacobacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+45.5%+$88.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.