Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce4232d0b61bf64a2329737edfd8e8823c26d3e7dae0e9a535e99dc98024345a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Okhdood SCof Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club, Al Okhdood SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Al Okhdood SC | 64c | 1,068$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.63 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 36c | 940.12$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.71 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Al Okhdood SC | 70c | 349.97$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 30c | 342.7$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 41c | 38.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club | 30c | 37.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Al Okhdood SC | 70c | 31.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)this page
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-2.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.