Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x197adb0cd9ccad5a6d26a43a70b88760b0b00867b0b23289d88f6d43645cdd1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Newcastle United FCof Newcastle United FC, Qarabağ Ağdam FK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $829,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $840,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $829,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2379…bf16backed Newcastle United FC | 48c | 616,967$297,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319,167.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 166,008$84,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,397.24 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 138,611$71,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,068.73 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 93,576$48,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,840.93 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…5223backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 75,308$39,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,987 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Newcastle United FC | 47c | 50,000$23,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,498.06 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 26,038$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 21,817$11,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,563 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 11,832$5,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,916 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 45c | 10,709$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.25 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 10,464$5,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,305.46 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.98 | 286 | 43.7%125 W · 161 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 9,528$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 9,433$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 9,293$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 8,135$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204.62 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Newcastle United FC | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Newcastle United FC | 44c | 7,852$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,397.34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 7,844$4,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 5,653$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.67 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.98 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 3,400$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Newcastle United FC | 51c | 3,338$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 48c | 3,138$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.61 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Newcastle United FC | 51c | 2,846$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.49 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 2,824$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.36 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 2,706$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.45 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Newcastle United FC | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Newcastle United FC | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Newcastle United FC | 51c | 1,480$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 1,430$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.55 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 1,352$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 1,320$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.6 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 1,300$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Newcastle United FC | 49c | 1,274$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Newcastle United FC | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 55c | 1,175$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 48c | 1,158$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.75 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Newcastle United FC | 52c | 1,119$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.7 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 839.62$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Newcastle United FC | 46c | 747.83$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.83 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 720$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 42c | 703.74$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.12 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 671.31$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.66 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Newcastle United FC | 51c | 656.86$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 654$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.62 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 604.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 26c | 596.31$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 566$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Newcastle United FC | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 455$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.39 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 455$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.39 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…ffb3backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 442.88$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Newcastle United FC | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Newcastle United FC | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 357.81$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.06 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 349.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Newcastle United FC | 73c | 327.85$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Newcastle United FC | 46c | 326.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.06 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Newcastle United FC | 45c | 318.81$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.34 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 311.36$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 303$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 296.17$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.32 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 295$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Newcastle United FC | 49c | 290$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.9 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 287.52$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.21 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Newcastle United FC | 51c | 284.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 280.26$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Newcastle United FC | 47c | 257.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 51c | 254.05$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.09 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Newcastle United FC | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 249.38$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 34c | 219.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 52c | 212.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Newcastle United FC | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)this page
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.