TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,871
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,871 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under34c15,654$5,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,398.3858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Over68c14,805$9,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,807.887542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c11,576$3,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,774.2759741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over68c10,476$7,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.7329350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c4,091$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.491,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Over68c3,794$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.12862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c3,763$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.021,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over68c3,256$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.211040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under38c2,600$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.983754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under7c2,136$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2612344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over68c1,820$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.294573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under23c1,658$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.4760136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Under18c1,631$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002450%12 W · 12 L+6.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+96.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Under31c1,577$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4891181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over67c1,507$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.46785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+51.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over65c1,505$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.7129746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48024327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under29c1,172$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.1116036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under38c1,111$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.164042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over58c793.1$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.15646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over62c700$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26638748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Over58c529.08$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5110237.3%38 W · 64 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked Over67c516.34$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.39683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over66c507.58$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.587065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1606253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over67c499.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1655152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.872382.6%19 W · 4 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x59e4…3130backed Over68c441.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.782231.8%7 W · 15 L-6.3wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-56.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Over62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.234759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.23875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Over70c400.21$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.063063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1607435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked Over68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.413100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Under35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over66c385.68$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.133268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Over65c385$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.755949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under33c381.19$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4843427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under32c361.08$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9860748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under35c344.07$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.655034%17 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.586040%24 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over80c321.5$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9242438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa600…0fc5backed Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Under33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6339…141ebacked Under5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Over69c290.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.361457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2949…4cc8backed Over68c281.32$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.021258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over68c252.94$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.941650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over62c225.79$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.86858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under32c199.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.994139%16 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.499739.2%38 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under20c169$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.815936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9cb…015fbacked Over64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.53661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.52688.5%23 W · 3 L+8.1wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+60.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xd4e3…0332backed Over67c130.78$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.16988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick51cpaid+192.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over68c127.94$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.942450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Over67c124.61$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.122470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d6…3273backed Over65c123.32$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.324153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Under34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403423.5%8 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-49.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under40c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over67c104.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.489556.8%54 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111443.9%50 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over61c99.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9925659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.777667.1%51 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e00…1a29backed Over68c94.76$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.32560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e24…24fbbacked Under33c93.82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Under32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014642.5%62 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.91944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over67c88.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.064465.9%29 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over64c81.25$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2520639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over64c81.14$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.214037.5%15 W · 25 L-6.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1320042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed Under40c78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.22437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae6f…8a1bbacked Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+46.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532969%20 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over62c72.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.693953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16de…2ebdbacked Over67c72.78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.469058.9%53 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under34c69.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9317045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under39c65.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.443050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under34c64.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.924632.6%15 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcd…3b61backed Over70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee70…7e8abacked Over62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.81947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x553d…86d9backed Under35c57.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Over64c52.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.042045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1834449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under39c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.361631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-49.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Over62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.393852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.394351.2%22 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under35c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3365050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under34c41.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.176950.7%35 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under36c41.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.935932.2%19 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.810760.7%65 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under36c39.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.235036%18 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over70c38.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.648051.3%41 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fdc…5f7bbacked Over68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.764100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over62c35.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.493256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed Over68c32.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.354751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.