TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9cb…015f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
374
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT20027.5%55 W · 145 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 200 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+402%+$109.57
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 100-101°F on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.99
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+396.2%+$39.9
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+251.3%+$172.37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.3
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.65
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.82
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+142.5%+$66.38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$62.98
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+121.5%+$203.55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.52
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 77°F or below on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+137.8%+$66.55
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.75
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+394.6%+$127.65
Showing 25 of 200 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST5817.2%10 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+354.5%+$78
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$29.8
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+1,288.9%+$185.6
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+900%+$180
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.75
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45.65
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT3661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.82
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$18.7
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$14.74
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$8.85
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$49.79
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+64%+$9.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.8
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25.5%+$6.38
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+45.9%+$9.19
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+58.5%+$36.96
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+38.5%+$26.87
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+161.9%+$56.67
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3225%8 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+890.1%+$179.8
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.6
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.2
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.1
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.9
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick62cpaid-52.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$43.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$84.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$46.24
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37.4%+$13.61
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+37%+$14.79
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+152.2%+$17.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid+28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)backed Jagiellonia Białystok · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$24.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+33.4%+$20.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+30.8%+$8.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.