TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$541,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$552,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $541,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac75…1319backed Yes26c95,605$24,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,857.33036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x570f…58c6backed Yes0c70,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes25c42,743$10,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,709.1911838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes36c31,039$11,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,149.662,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c27,625$20,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,853.812,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No74c24,513$18,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,375.851,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c19,463$11,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,948.496,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes25c14,829$3,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,707.1615344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No74c14,321$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,721.3321253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes59c12,700$7,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,429.952138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.1138649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed No76c9,211$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.53850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No76c8,572$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.96354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3926…7e9ebacked No47c5,590$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.7875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c4,922$3,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.281,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed Yes26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes25c3,892$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9732433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd289…079fbacked No51c3,866$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.511118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c3,785$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.992,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No53c3,322$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.871,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7807929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked No76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad06…2dfabacked No52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4403461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+50.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Yes70c2,855$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked No79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.652070%14 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No74c2,381$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.0579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes24c2,222$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.5926444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No50c2,041$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.9813841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007138%27 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x291b…2667backed No74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.971478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5aae…4daabacked No76c1,999$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.834100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+82.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes25c1,880$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47010426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No75c1,792$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4487759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes13c1,691$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.996333.3%21 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes25c1,651$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.751,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes25c1,588$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3971,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No42c1,574$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.746240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes27c1,433$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.111,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes57c1,397$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.15280.8%42 W · 10 L+13.0wins+0.25per pick56cpaid+57%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7147…9a01backed Yes26c1,324$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.13922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed No76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.797060%42 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf1…547ebacked Yes25c1,297$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.242250%11 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c11…b0e6backed No57c1,266$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.73714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-75%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7bca…d592backed No76c1,098$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes25c1,082$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.514456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No73c1,060$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.112774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56056453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb763…247dbacked Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+93.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203953.8%21 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes33c961.35$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.5413727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Yes73c958.9$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No75c928.78$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.197147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No75c920$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23010159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes57c872$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.3169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes25c800$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7639156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes53c800$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.0536563%230 W · 135 L+32.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes25c800$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038226.8%22 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No74c800$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20836956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes54c780$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.4524146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No75c736.84$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.279358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed No45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.673339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No57c665.66$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.742043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No55c657.52$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.0725530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No76c643.23$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5220246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No74c611.05$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.874862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked Yes24c595$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.83351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes26c594.73$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.636258.1%36 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes26c593$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.497534.7%26 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Yes69c549.5$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes26c525$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes25c506.04$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.853531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No48c502.93$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.777336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No46c500$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26814342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No34c477.76$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.334,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc579…21cdbacked Yes26c461.54$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed No44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.55757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+63.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a2…8015backed Yes80c450$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick75cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No74c420$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.265557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No74c420$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.260557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No74c420$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.237557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes37c412.15$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.658153.1%43 W · 38 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ecb…f73abacked Yes24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes18c400$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010554.3%57 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes25c399.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007358.9%43 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No74c390.74$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5911346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes64c387.78$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.59224.5%1 W · 21 L-10.7wins-0.49per pick53cpaid-92.5%equal weight25-0.23 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes39c383.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7622040.5%89 W · 131 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009134.1%31 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes12c368.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.820931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.