TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7147…9a01

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Golf, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Atlanta Hawks vs. Memphis Grizzliesbacked Atlanta Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$435
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.37
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,142.32
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+153%+$523.11
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$147.66
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$396
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+244.8%+$355
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+112.8%+$265
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$68.81
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$152.69
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+96.1%+$164.67
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$220.68
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$177.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.04
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$344.13
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$220.01
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+100%+$461.67
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Arsenal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$102.72
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+212.5%+$218.28
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.38
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.73
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$146.25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.08
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$171.57
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+455.6%+$494.46
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$177.62
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+257.1%+$741.5
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$174.08
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+244.8%+$354.76
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$242.83
Vikings vs. Seahawksbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$114.18
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.84
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$788.82
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.43
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$99.11
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$192.4
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.17
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan Statebacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Akron vs. Ball Statebacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+108.3%+$260
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$144.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henan FC win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.