Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b897dc2bf50be336ffdb06f29d0e135a8859ddca149035ce0e91c55548aede2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $706,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $726,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $706,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 573 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 210,672$89,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,076.38 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 84,684$48,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,463.56 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 63,820$27,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,310.41 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 58c | 55,792$32,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,347.7 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 57c | 53,438$30,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,978.22 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 44,480$29,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,020.01 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 58c | 40,933$23,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,191.86 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,599.99 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 42c | 23,670$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 58cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 42c | 20,068$8,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,492.94 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 19,029$11,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,997.19 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 45c | 18,481$8,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,303.45 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 58c | 17,109$9,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,185.78 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 59c | 16,950$10,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,949.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 59c | 14,258$8,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,787.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 13,746$8,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,379.39 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 43c | 11,244$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 42c | 8,940$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.91 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 44c | 8,864$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 40c | 8,407$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,365.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 57c | 7,628$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.16 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 58c | 7,535$4,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,164.85 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 58c | 6,021$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.06 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 9c | 5,433$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.97 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 41c | 5,001$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.6 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.97 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked No | 59c | 4,237$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 58c | 4,181$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.38 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 60c | 4,141$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.63 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…f95abacked Yes | 48c | 4,063$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68f…f354backed No | 52c | 4,054$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 58c | 3,910$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.72 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 60c | 3,853$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.11 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes | 45c | 3,764$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 58c | 3,357$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.81 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 41c | 3,217$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.78 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 43c | 3,191$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.33 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed No | 63c | 2,999$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 58c | 2,880$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…4399backed Yes | 39c | 2,569$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 45c | 2,513$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.23 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 57c | 2,315$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.02 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 43c | 2,252$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 44c | 2,252$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…8c47backed Yes | 34c | 2,232$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 40c | 2,231$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.4 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 36c | 2,220$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.75 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 42c | 2,142$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 42c | 2,123$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 58c | 2,101$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.6 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,049$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.69 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e77…788dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 41c | 1,813$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.26 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,724$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 58c | 1,700$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,563$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.27 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Yes | 42c | 1,558$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 41c | 1,529$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.26 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 43c | 1,395$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 58c | 1,386$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 43c | 1,338$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 43c | 1,335$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.74 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 42c | 1,269$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.75 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 60c | 1,244$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.46 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 58c | 1,198$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.25 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed Yes | 42c | 1,196$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…461abacked Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 58c | 1,180$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked No | 60c | 1,175$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 58c | 1,148$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…b975backed No | 59c | 1,088$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 42c | 1,055$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 42c | 1,040$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 58c | 1,025$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.58 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 41c | 1,023$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.5 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,006$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c1…3612backed Yes | 43c | 988.37$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…6e3abacked Yes | 42c | 979.45$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…b633backed Yes | 41c | 976.39$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977e…f89fbacked Yes | 43c | 975$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 962.05$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.98 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Yes | 42c | 961.48$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.82 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 58c | 949.31$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.63 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 42c | 904.76$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2025-12-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.