Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2025-12-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76c75c1d59d69b56095be8a4c90e5a1e09233c33e189b1f6873e0087d5936b7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $440,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0bc…af98backed No | 71c | 170,366$120,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,959.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 29c | 164,690$47,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,929.79 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 25,374$7,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,480.8 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 70c | 25,026$17,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,523.01 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 17,524$5,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,037.44 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 29c | 16,667$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,833.7 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 12,319$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,139.54 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 47c | 10,367$4,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,541.54 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 68c | 8,836$6,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,008.65 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 68c | 7,607$5,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,172.83 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked No | 70c | 7,143$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked No | 71c | 6,523$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,623.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…9a8dbacked Yes | 30c | 6,000$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +230.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…aab4backed Yes | 40c | 5,177$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…a309backed No | 71c | 4,900$3,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 70c | 4,564$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…f0a6backed Yes | 30c | 4,100$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…1af4backed No | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 69c | 3,500$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 3,376$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.49 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.81 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked No | 69c | 3,150$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 29c | 3,039$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.48 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e7…3f51backed Yes | 26c | 2,644$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +133%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c9…4967backed Yes | 26c | 2,287$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315c…9ad0backed Yes | 26c | 1,995$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 31c | 1,935$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad24…f606backed Yes | 26c | 1,902$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +161.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c9…3734backed Yes | 31c | 1,850$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 72c | 1,704$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.09 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…d204backed No | 69c | 1,700$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,654$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.78 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6e…cfbcbacked Yes | 26c | 1,653$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +180%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 68c | 1,648$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.53 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 70c | 1,613$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x835a…688ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,610$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +180%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…b619backed Yes | 26c | 1,535$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +133%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.79 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b19…decbbacked Yes | 26c | 1,419$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11fe…e2a0backed No | 74c | 1,312$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 76c | 1,312$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.95 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 33c | 1,287$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7651…5057backed No | 74c | 1,277$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…cd14backed No | 74c | 1,258$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 69c | 1,250$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a3…a840backed No | 74c | 1,180$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6601…72ccbacked Yes | 26c | 1,076$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb0…df22backed Yes | 26c | 1,053$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed No | 27c | 1,028$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 30c | 1,001$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.9 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…bb06backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b73…77edbacked No | 74c | 983$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…e30ebacked No | 74c | 973$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…0cc9backed Yes | 26c | 958$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb77…b7f7backed No | 74c | 957$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x704d…3999backed No | 74c | 951$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f27…ddcfbacked Yes | 26c | 920$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 72c | 895.59$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.4 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45bf…a76dbacked No | 74c | 888$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…9076backed No | 74c | 829$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 45c | 824.2$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.72 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d4…e4fabacked No | 74c | 818$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…e26bbacked Yes | 30c | 800$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb471…69cdbacked No | 74c | 744$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 26c | 740$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 69c | 732$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 44c | 726.56$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.02 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 47c | 711.48$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.31 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed No | 71c | 704.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 29c | 702$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.42 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 70c | 677.95$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.54 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…3ca8backed No | 74c | 677$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 584.01$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.12 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef7…a192backed No | 74c | 543$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 30c | 540$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 70c | 539.67$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.77 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…726abacked No | 74c | 515$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d9…8058backed No | 74c | 499$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…7906backed Yes | 26c | 474$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +180%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 45c | 458.8$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.82 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 455.85$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.69 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272f…a803backed Yes | 26c | 425$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 71c | 423$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…d1dcbacked No | 74c | 421$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…3c2cbacked Yes | 26c | 403$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +161.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 73c | 399.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.99 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…8564backed No | 74c | 396$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8450…b5a9backed Yes | 69c | 393.06$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2025-12-12?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.