Fifa International · resolved market
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e4e25829dbb407861df11f7d53b752bf0a11b8018890efee1e783d0845aab40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,743,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,544,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,743,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 829 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 70c | 180,000$126,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,716.94 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 70c | 132,891$93,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,375.53 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…5a97backed Yes | 0c | 120,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 71c | 115,968$81,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,769.45 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 1c | 100,868$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…6cd6backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 29c | 99,897$28,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,926.97 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 30c | 94,964$28,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,674.54 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 29c | 88,895$25,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,970.64 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b6…858abacked Yes | 0c | 86,702$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 84,266$29,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,433.8 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…033abacked Yes | 0c | 72,250$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…aeb9backed Yes | 0c | 72,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 29c | 60,000$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,399.99 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf44…1694backed Yes | 0c | 53,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfca…8d8abacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 31c | 42,336$13,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,211.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 29c | 42,205$12,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,965.57 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 37,794$13,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,628.21 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 70c | 35,830$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ba…6769backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f7…ca57backed Yes | 0c | 31,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 31c | 30,111$9,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,776.87 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…c083backed Yes | 0c | 29,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 0c | 26,094$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 39c | 25,100$9,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,220 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 5c | 22,559$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.78 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb30f…fd40backed Yes | 0c | 22,021$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…7ac1backed Yes | 0c | 21,994$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…8449backed Yes | 0c | 21,006$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…7a79backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 2c | 20,218$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.45 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…aa0ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…a195backed Yes | 0c | 16,947$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 36c | 16,560$5,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,670.05 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdb…1beabacked Yes | 1c | 15,177$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…dd12backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.94 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 29c | 14,585$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,344.94 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Yes | 71c | 14,328$10,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,173 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 71c | 14,085$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed No | 31c | 12,933$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,924.05 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 31c | 12,748$3,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,783.57 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 70c | 12,547$8,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,782.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8b…97efbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 29c | 11,347$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,039.74 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes | 7c | 11,047$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.22 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 30c | 10,725$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,542.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 3c | 10,614$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 69c | 10,317$7,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,144.63 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…6b5cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,143$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80fd…17d8backed Yes | 0c | 10,005$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ac…10e0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…66dfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…14a1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,099.97 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 30c | 9,462$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,622.35 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 71c | 8,042$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,680 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…9ff6backed Yes | 71c | 7,724$5,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,476.15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 70c | 7,143$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 70c | 7,143$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 31c | 6,891$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760.94 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 29c | 6,486$1,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,605.04 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Yes | 1c | 6,106$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 71c | 5,555$3,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,943.83 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 57c | 5,449$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.9 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 5,351$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.44 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af3…2320backed Yes | 0c | 5,021$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…907bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,011$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.93 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 31c | 4,933$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.15 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 71c | 4,912$3,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,487.18 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 10c | 4,881$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.65 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked No | 32c | 4,446$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.08 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…fd59backed Yes | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 31c | 4,310$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.89 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…36a6backed Yes | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed No | 31c | 4,187$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.29 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 69c | 4,063$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.94 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Yes | 66c | 4,038$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…a4d5backed Yes | 53c | 4,000$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 57c | 3,866$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…4465backed Yes | 69c | 3,769$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…9b85backed Yes | 57c | 3,749$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 51c | 3,600$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.8 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Yes | 71c | 3,521$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 30c | 3,493$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…dd30backed Yes | 55c | 3,284$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Yes | 65c | 3,226$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.61 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Yes | 65c | 3,054$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?this page
- Will Benin win on 2026-01-05?No won
- Will Egypt vs. Benin end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.