TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb737…98b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST3053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,005.99
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,586Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+36.1%+$932.52
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+38%+$954.13
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.5%+$1,018.85
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,036Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+95.9%+$1,952.94
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,259.53
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+30.9%+$925.68
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,299Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.6%+$886.61
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,423Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+83.4%+$2,021.99
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,921.63
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,069Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+68.2%+$2,093.86
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,472Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$1,709.98
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+32.1%+$641.62
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$400
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$300
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+49.2%+$221.57
LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ZSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$550
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+43.3%+$129.85
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.1%+$827.71
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,012Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$899.7
Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,901Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+29.6%+$563
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+30.7%+$920.14
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25.8%+$516.31
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.6%+$1,002.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$1,054.74
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$5,230.3
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,500
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,452Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+26.2%+$1,168.28
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$3,500
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+78.5%+$3,138.17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,484Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+26.6%+$1,723.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+66.6%+$2,332.44
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$3,500
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+39%+$974.01
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+27.9%+$602.46
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$2,166.67
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$4,066.07
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,569Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,956.63
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70.4
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$375
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+234.8%+$4,696.67
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$775.4
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+47.1%+$1,177.89
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,288.99
76ers vs. Thunderbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,659.09
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,426Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$1,142.14
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$5,469.9
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$4,950
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$7,000
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+54.1%+$216.46
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,243Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+59.9%+$1,343.57
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Washington vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,504Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+27.4%+$411.36
Counter-Strike: Team Shadowkek vs Team magixx (BO3)backed Team Shadowkek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+69.5%+$1,042.37
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+41.6%+$228.87
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$34.5
Counter-Strike: 33 vs SPARTA (BO3)backed 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+49.5%+$177.27
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3)backed GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+51.1%+$204.48
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+26.2%+$114.17
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,483Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+27.7%+$687.59
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+108.3%+$2,708.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,796Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+30.5%+$547.51
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick66cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Mallorca vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,892Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+34.1%+$645.41
Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+30.8%+$615.17
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.8%+$4,341.08
Elche CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29.2%+$1,023.53
CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+50.2%+$1,004.91
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+182.4%+$2,735.57
Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$213.89
Athletic Club vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,435Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$5,265.29
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.7%+$536.56
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500.08
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+51.9%+$1,038.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,244Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+45.1%+$1,012.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,443Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+32.9%+$803.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$332.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.