La Liga · resolved market
CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12ac71b18454f1548d1dc787cc89d7c7e641dc13020dba438924350658857c5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 4,842$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.56 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Over | 67c | 3,005$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.91 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 74c | 1,600$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 35c | 1,329$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.15 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 76c | 777$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.68 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 29c | 750.87$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.87 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 74c | 544.34$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.34 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 64c | 439.76$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.31 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 34c | 360.08$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…bfddbacked Over | 66c | 358.56$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Over | 54c | 310$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 66c | 301.91$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.65 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Over | 54c | 230$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Over | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 150.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Over | 58c | 135.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 132.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 129.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 425 | 58.4%248 W · 177 L | +31.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 169 | 62.1%105 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Over | 65c | 99.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 55c | 74.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 33c | 62.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 43c | 48.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 54c | 46.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 76c | 42.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 66c | 40.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225a…d866backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…0e37backed Under | 34c | 33.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 31.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Over | 66c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Under | 45c | 25.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 66c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 66c | 17.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.