TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfb37…0e37

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.4%+$9.15
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$11.64
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7.36
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$15.88
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.01
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.87
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.3%+$3.94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+180.9%+$403.13
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.85
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.3%+$32.9
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.4%+$6.15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.31
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.76
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+44.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22.11
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30.63
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37%+$4.49
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+233.3%+$25.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+148.5%+$15.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland State Vikings vs. Weber State Wildcatsbacked Weber State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.