Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e4f9d5d668dd2d24ef00d3154230d98e97bb43ab9c6c53c090995ffb4be7994
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 55c | 9,999$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.47 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 44c | 6,163$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.15 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f3b8backed Over | 69c | 4,315$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Over | 72c | 3,142$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 47c | 2,835$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.54 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 59c | 1,773$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.26 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 39c | 1,582$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.1 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,465$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.38 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Under | 59c | 1,435$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…837cbacked Under | 34c | 1,258$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +196.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 28c | 1,246$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 30c | 1,191$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.56 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 72c | 1,042$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Over | 6c | 1,039$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Over | 72c | 972.22$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 28c | 926.04$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.75 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 72c | 763.13$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.45 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 60c | 691.18$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.69 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Over | 71c | 686.38$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.19 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Under | 32c | 628.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 492.18$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.63 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 71c | 478.86$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 71c | 412.15$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.63 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 402.47$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…acc9backed Over | 76c | 399.24$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 51c | 389.3$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.91 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 326.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.61 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 33c | 266.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.63 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 39c | 262.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e10…b8d4backed Over | 64c | 250$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Over | 64c | 214.06$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 28c | 182.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.07 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 28c | 180$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 65c | 178.59$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 74c | 147.3$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a72…ce3ebacked Over | 72c | 139.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 76c | 125$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 57c | 124.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Over | 60c | 123.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 24c | 119.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 61c | 115.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 18c | 113.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Over | 37c | 108.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dc…790bbacked Over | 62c | 88.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…f54fbacked Over | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 74c | 71.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 72c | 68.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…8b5fbacked Under | 29c | 66.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Over | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ab…c058backed Over | 40c | 62.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…dea6backed Under | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 36c | 55.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 41c | 52.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Over | 72c | 51.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…dfd2backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 27c | 48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf470…67fdbacked Under | 26c | 47.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da9…ad9ebacked Over | 72c | 41.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c2…6784backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over | 70c | 39.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…0e37backed Under | 30c | 36.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d7…2eaebacked Under | 38c | 33.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a3…56d0backed Over | 65c | 33.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 50c | 32.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 38c | 31.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…526dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 56c | 28.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Over | 40c | 27.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…85a5backed Over | 55c | 25.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Over | 76c | 24.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 63c | 24.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Under | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Under | 78c | 20.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 60c | 20.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.