TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$246,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$325,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,403 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cb…28adbacked Under56c74,268$41,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,361.044566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over44c25,110$11,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,147.911848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over30c17,417$5,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,278.9596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c11,994$7,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,303.232,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Over45c10,047$4,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,521.123033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Over46c8,476$3,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,898.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over29c7,782$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.162236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0ae…41afbacked Under55c6,564$3,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,953.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c4,982$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.461,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Under55c4,830$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.462240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under55c3,942$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.042850%14 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over45c3,200$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4323650%18 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Under71c2,885$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.052268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9af…7807backed Over17c2,136$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9203948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8608251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over34c1,777$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.5793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over42c1,700$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70945547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over28c1,596$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.546028.3%17 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over45c1,553$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.948744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over46c1,304$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Over46c1,285$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.12470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over48c1,144$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5494134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over45c1,000$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4457255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over44c991$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.0437250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under64c931.59$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.8659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over48c925$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4442060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under63c800$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.6713754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34410152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over45c500$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.55639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa21a…c0c6backed Under55c498.76$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over45c462.96$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3321650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over25c444.67$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.177220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Over46c418.96$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.724647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17228556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under56c397.68$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.163164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedac…e765backed Under54c350.19$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed Over43c350$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under54c315.72$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2316045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12925556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12913152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12918459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f07…4518backed Under58c279.19$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over39c273.68$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.516439.1%25 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over44c254.14$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8236630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.212048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.216851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Under52c239.91$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9b…7fc3backed Over45c218.6$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8611550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8613550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8613648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c198.91$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed Under67c191.44$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.181442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.415847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.414155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.412253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.428458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over50c162.64$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.325768.4%39 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Over43c138.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa852…d55dbacked Under79c135.7$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.751855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Over45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.68852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.611154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.68148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.612453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.611454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.68948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.610952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.67746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.610252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.611953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.69447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.615459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.611448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over46c118.8$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6510951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over45c117.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5338739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x48ab…c058backed Under69c111.59$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ace…07c7backed Under54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.112268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over21c108.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3424849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over23c100.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5315045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437445.9%34 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Over24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43b3…74cfbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over48c99.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5515253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86b6…2c52backed Over14c95.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.08714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2285…4bf1backed Over45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.