Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff4254fdef9db7d354b3f0cca72f09bfb02071aac333297316ad6d897de27551
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $246,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $246,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 56c | 74,268$41,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,361.04 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 44c | 25,110$11,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,147.9 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 30c | 17,417$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,278.95 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 11,994$7,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303.23 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 45c | 10,047$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,521.12 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 46c | 8,476$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 29c | 7,782$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.16 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…41afbacked Under | 55c | 6,564$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 4,982$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.46 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Under | 55c | 4,830$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.46 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 55c | 3,942$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.04 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 45c | 3,200$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Under | 71c | 2,885$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.05 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…7807backed Over | 17c | 2,136$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 34c | 1,777$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.57 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 42c | 1,700$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 28c | 1,596$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.54 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 45c | 1,553$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.94 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 46c | 1,285$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.1 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 48c | 1,144$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 44c | 991$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.04 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 64c | 931.59$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.86 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 48c | 925$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 63c | 800$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.67 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 45c | 500$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21a…c0c6backed Under | 55c | 498.76$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 45c | 462.96$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.33 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 444.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Over | 46c | 418.96$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.72 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 56c | 397.68$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.16 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedac…e765backed Under | 54c | 350.19$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed Over | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 54c | 315.72$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.23 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f07…4518backed Under | 58c | 279.19$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 39c | 273.68$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 44c | 254.14$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked Under | 52c | 239.91$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…7fc3backed Over | 45c | 218.6$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 198.91$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Under | 67c | 191.44$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 50c | 162.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Over | 43c | 138.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Under | 79c | 135.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 46c | 118.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 45c | 117.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ab…c058backed Under | 69c | 111.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…07c7backed Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 21c | 108.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 23c | 100.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…74cfbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 48c | 99.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Over | 14c | 95.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.