TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1428…017c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT4161%25 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$150.57
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$605.29
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$319.9
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$480
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: France (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Saudi Arabia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$219.1
Knicks vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$91.8
Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Spread: Clippers (-11.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$53.4
Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$898.68
Hawks vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$392
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$26.97
Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,126.23
Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.28
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$839.16
Hawks vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$1,002.4
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,059.01
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$150.07
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$331.66
Pacers vs. Magic: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$398.15
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$738.46
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$365
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,381.21
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fake do Biru (BO3)backed Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$32.84
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$53.99
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$113.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$667.9
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$229.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3)backed KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3)backed Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$84.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$245
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.