NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 244.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x826309c5c975d000c7347f532e05e7c0f8de736fba29a7d9667049552e2e0b18

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,408
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $32,859

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,408 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Under	56c	7,926$4,439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,438.62	404	46.8%189 W · 215 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed Under	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	101	58.4%59 W · 42 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	45c	3,810$1,729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,080.52	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	44c	2,543$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,417.84	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over	52c	2,085$1,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.62	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cea…3ba8backed Over	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c5…5c0dbacked Over	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6371…d8febacked Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa817…6313backed Over	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf32…e0e7backed Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+4.4wins	+0.16per pick	48cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8367…90e9backed Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd49…4b3bbacked Over	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc898…e5b3backed Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e9a…5ecebacked Over	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43dc…2353backed Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over	44c	1,000$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over	53c	943.4$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.4	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	47c	923.4$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	45c	708.62$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81b5…56cdbacked Under	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1891…fd78backed Over	47c	400$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x139f…2b9bbacked Under	59c	400$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	52cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	43c	320$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.4	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1428…017cbacked Under	52c	288.59$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.07	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefe8…fe1abacked Over	47c	250$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.5	93	41.9%39 W · 54 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	57c	250$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.5	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	43c	241.43$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.62	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under	57c	238$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.66	49	49%24 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under	52c	153.85$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d8…d0f6backed Under	53c	132$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.96	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.23per pick	58cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Under	55c	123$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.65	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Under	55c	102$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.1	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-8.6wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa014…00c8backed Under	51c	100.86$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.24	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	661	43.4%287 W · 374 L	-32.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	477	38.2%182 W · 295 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over	47c	98.08$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.07	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under	53c	95.26$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.18	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under	57c	95$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.15	87	49.4%43 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under	55c	90$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	93	60.2%56 W · 37 L	+10.4wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Over	43c	76.28$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.48	930	36.5%339 W · 591 L	-20.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe5…fd84backed Over	47c	68$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.04	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb354…f130backed Over	47c	64$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.92	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under	58c	55$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.9	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Under	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd1…0100backed Over	43c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed Over	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Over	45c	48$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Over	43c	48$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.36	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Over	43c	47$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.79	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9430…97cebacked Over	43c	46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.22	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed Under	53c	44$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.32	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Over	45c	43$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.65	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Over	45c	43$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.65	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7972…930fbacked Under	59c	42.37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-12.3wins	-0.15per pick	63cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3add…e482backed Over	45c	42$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.1	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9b…0bc0backed Over	45c	39$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.45	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce96…ff5cbacked Over	43c	38$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.66	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	242	48.3%117 W · 125 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Under	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	109	53.2%58 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	52c	33.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.68	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5d…be79backed Over	42c	32$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.56	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Over	45c	31$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.05	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Under	55c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68cc…24adbacked Over	43c	27$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.39	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Over	43c	26$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.82	28	50%14 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f74…cfc7backed Over	44c	25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c47…c146backed Under	57c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa938…3bc3backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-7.7wins	-0.23per pick	54cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 244.5this page
Jazz vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5Over won
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 242.5Over won
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 245.5Over won
Keyonte George: Points Over 24.5No won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Trail Blazers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 244.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event