NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eace78a0b16b1ced53ffe76e12d2955e37255edaf2038de5dc97a553d65375c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 52c | 77,057$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,057.47 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 20,385$9,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 6,829$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.77 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea2…6a02backed Under | 52c | 6,004$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 51c | 4,175$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.4 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 48c | 4,147$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.32 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…860cbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e8…29f1backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 1,485$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.36 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 51c | 1,114$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,088$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 1,066$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.24 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 52c | 1,060$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.2 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 53c | 952.83$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 882.94$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.81 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Under | 48c | 882.94$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.81 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.99 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 47c | 742.37$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.46 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Under | 50c | 399$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42d…5287backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Over | 61c | 156.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Under | 39c | 141.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 59c | 131.03$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 129.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291e…4b6abacked Under | 54c | 97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…f598backed Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…6fd4backed Over | 51c | 50.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ad…37efbacked Under | 38c | 31.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 48c | 28.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…d6e0backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 242.5this page
- Jazz vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Keyonte George: Points Over 24.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.