NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a6cfd27d2020f8f821f1f0c1ff0a30dec90cf4721584ca5c0fe98957d5336b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 51c | 11,843$6,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,803.64 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…447cbacked Under | 49c | 4,959$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 4,709$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 4,158$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.48 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 3,998$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.04 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 50c | 3,651$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.99 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 50c | 3,650$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Under | 48c | 1,426$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.42 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 1,083$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.2 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 49c | 999.94$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.97 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 48c | 576.92$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.92 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 545.1$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.64 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…269fbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 48c | 390.6$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 389.19$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 51c | 317.65$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 49c | 316.33$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 49c | 237.02$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Over | 69c | 215.62$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Under | 31c | 203$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Over | 51c | 175$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Over | 69c | 169.58$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…502cbacked Over | 51c | 137$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 61c | 103.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Over | 50c | 99.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…3f14backed Under | 53c | 92.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 33c | 82.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…0adcbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7f…3e16backed Under | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce7…4eaebacked Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 49.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc0…5619backed Under | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 48c | 31.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea3…ab73backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5this page
- Jazz vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Keyonte George: Points Over 24.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.