NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0579a0212dacc24e05cd18b9443eda59a79e11dbc715b86ec027cee9e12ee2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 25,773$13,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,331.39 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Jazz | 48c | 17,568$8,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,432.64 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 47c | 8,114$3,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,852.54 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.96 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 4,644$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.61 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 47c | 3,110$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.94 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz | 48c | 2,233$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.1 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 2,169$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.43 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 46c | 2,083$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Jazz | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,503$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.58 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Jazz | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jazz | 47c | 1,220$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 900$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96af…95a8backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz | 48c | 757$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.36 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 671.68$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.69 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Jazz | 47c | 639$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.33 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Jazz | 48c | 515$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c19…b080backed Jazz | 47c | 500.35$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Jazz | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…236cbacked Jazz | 47c | 399.75$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42d…5287backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 394.08$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Jazz | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Jazz | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 249.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 241.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.67 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jazz | 46c | 199.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Jazz | 48c | 195.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.64 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Jazz | 50c | 123.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Jazz | 48c | 121$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 114.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Jazz | 48c | 99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3866…fb73backed Jazz | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Jazz | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Jazz | 47c | 48.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…1e6bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Jazz | 47c | 32.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Jazz | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jazz | 48c | 29.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Jazz | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 25.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf8…2540backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 23.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Jazz | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Jazz | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 21.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Jazz | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)this page
- Jazz vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 245.5Over won
- Keyonte George: Points Over 24.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.