TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,041 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers48c43,047$20,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,196.542,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Jazz51c17,562$8,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,955.6350653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jazz52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Jazz51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10074748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz51c6,917$3,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,527.74,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Trail Blazers49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5502,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Jazz52c3,038$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58026949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz53c3,025$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.31,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Trail Blazers48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Trail Blazers50c2,795$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.3731551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Jazz52c2,788$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45011653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Jazz52c2,173$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13043453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Trail Blazers48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Trail Blazers48c1,900$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.943661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Jazz52c1,653$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.4316657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz52c1,605$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.62,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Jazz52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78024051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz51c1,112$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.159,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Jazz1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1027435.4%97 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Jazz52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52051651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Jazz51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51010244.1%45 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers67c706.34$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.788,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Jazz51c537.48$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.1123250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Trail Blazers52c477.57$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5714054.3%76 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Jazz38c415.59$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.341,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Jazz52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20861747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz51c379.63$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.442,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz53c321.57$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.132,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Jazz52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15634447.4%163 W · 181 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz46c272.37$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.164,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42d…5287backed Trail Blazers47c259.57$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc140…517bbacked Jazz52c230.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Jazz29c204.89$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7363745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Jazz51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10278652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Jazz53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Jazz35c176.66$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.619951.8%103 W · 96 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Jazz52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7815759.9%94 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Jazz52c141$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.328852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Jazz52c133.95$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.031,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers47c116.19$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.586,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd0…4516backed Jazz53c114.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604944.9%22 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Jazz47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.748146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Jazz52c102$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.046541.5%27 W · 38 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Jazz52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0742…39a7backed Trail Blazers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x552e…a856backed Jazz51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514650%23 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Jazz52c96.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b2c…b422backed Jazz53c93.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed Jazz52c92.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487639.5%30 W · 46 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x36a5…ac2dbacked Jazz52c88.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25fd…6219backed Trail Blazers49c88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.88450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Jazz52c63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.767448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Jazz52c62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.249360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Jazz42c59.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.171,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Trail Blazers49c50.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5217853.4%95 W · 83 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Trail Blazers48c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.484148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Jazz51c46.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.181,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz51c44.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4889050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Trail Blazers55c44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.82,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2342…d7cebacked Trail Blazers48c43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.362236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13b4…bd21backed Trail Blazers48c41.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Trail Blazers49c40.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8432743.4%142 W · 185 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Jazz53c40.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4931430.3%95 W · 219 L-1.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a3…4492backed Trail Blazers49c40.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.32per pick59cpaid+60.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc880…a622backed Jazz52c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.287441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Trail Blazers49c38.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7862450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Jazz52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015355.6%85 W · 68 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Jazz53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2056454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Jazz50c36.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0966143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1540…04e9backed Trail Blazers49c35.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.215168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Trail Blazers54c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Jazz52c34.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1815149%74 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f96…92e0backed Trail Blazers48c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.682642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Trail Blazers48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2593849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Jazz35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.537949.3%187 W · 192 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Jazz52c29.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1848451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Trail Blazers50c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.542143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Jazz52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519940.7%81 W · 118 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Jazz52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Trail Blazers71c28.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.332568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Jazz52c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.564153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e84…b7f6backed Trail Blazers49c27.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.256448.4%31 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz52c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.523,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8d…4dc6backed Trail Blazers50c24.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.275457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked Trail Blazers48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.482944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2061…1ed1backed Trail Blazers48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.923652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89a4…5f78backed Jazz52c20.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8310053%53 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Trail Blazers50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1025058.4%146 W · 104 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Jazz52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.438048.7%185 W · 195 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.