NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 245.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7962f8b913ea3983a179db4cf72cf875538ac8dedcdae55d3afac8e9381fb74d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 6,298$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 5,834$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,292.18 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Under | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 45c | 3,100$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.99 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a9…676ebacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710a…a5d8backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 63c | 1,600$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.2 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,360$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 54c | 1,334$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.89 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 55c | 1,310$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.54 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 45c | 909.69$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.41 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 45c | 816.06$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.54 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 55c | 761.72$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.77 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 16c | 745.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.42 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Under | 59c | 447.73$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.51 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Under | 50c | 368$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Over | 48c | 312$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.24 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 41c | 301.72$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 5c | 250.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 57c | 225$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 58c | 183$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 61c | 164.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 41c | 160$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 57c | 153$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…de63backed Under | 55c | 127$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 38c | 106.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 40c | 69.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf8…2540backed Under | 29c | 68.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…fc1abacked Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 43c | 64.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…e41abacked Over | 45c | 61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 41c | 59.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 59c | 49.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 49c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 58c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Over | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Under | 55c | 44.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 45c | 44.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 56c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Over | 43c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 42c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 58c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 54c | 36.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 46c | 35.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 246 | 45.9%113 W · 133 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 40c | 34.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…6d5cbacked Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked Over | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Over | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 31.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 41c | 29.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 52c | 26.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 245.5this page
- Jazz vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 244.5Over won
- Keyonte George: Points Over 24.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.