TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d29…6da9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
543
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tweets, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 51 out of 100; worst Fed Rates at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT32752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 327 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,241.42
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$261.66
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$132.91
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$187.74
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$462
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.56
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$144
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$354.73
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.71
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$804Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$804
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$208.97
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+195.1%+$222.79
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$485
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$315
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,058.53
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$168.75
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$144.83
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$265.97
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$70.27
Showing 25 of 327 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT14255.6%79 W · 63 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 142 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+102%+$204.04
Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+272%+$543.9
Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+176.7%+$88.36
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.4
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,377.6
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+71.5%+$319.96
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$57.11
Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$187.65
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+50.6%+$50.62
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hornets vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+80.7%+$80.67
Spurs vs. Nets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.6%+$51.59
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+70.9%+$212.82
Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+59.3%+$160.59
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$49.86
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+53.8%+$161.54
Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$450.46
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$136.8
Showing 25 of 142 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+355%+$1,953.57
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$323.52
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+336.1%+$1,464.35
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$879.71
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$508.43
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,077.17
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,816Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,816.21
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,027.27
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+170.3%+$25.52
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,651.22
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$336
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+167.1%+$274.76
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,038.44
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$780.44
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,472Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+115%+$1,692.46
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,285.1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,295.35
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$699.99
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$709.95
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$790.66
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,559Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+215.2%+$3,355.53
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$699.99
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$526.06
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$51.5
Blue Jackets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$13.32
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.9%+$301.7
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+38.9%+$116.66
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$426.02
Sabres vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$147.23
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+30%+$180.27
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$750
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$617.28
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,096Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+125.3%+$1,373.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$36.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$349.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$144.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$774
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.