Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b19dd35ed589165fd2e75724a9a10ba1a401a56e30929e0443e2dc76f6ac37

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $966,651
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $957,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $966,651 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 656 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	30c	25,481$7,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,742.25	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	73c	22,290$16,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,006.48	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	19c	21,010$3,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,048.62	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	25c	14,792$3,759 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,032.91	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	64c	13,502$8,643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,858.32	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	47c	12,795$6,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,736.35	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	48c	12,560$6,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,471.15	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	31c	10,925$3,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,521.04	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	18c	10,611$1,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,712.23	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x804c…1658backed Yes	59c	10,385$6,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,302.48	103	21.4%22 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	19c	10,317$2,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,308.43	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Yes	79c	9,554$7,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,984.6	98	9.2%9 W · 89 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1da3…24d6backed Yes	42c	9,180$3,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,364.84	76	13.2%10 W · 66 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	37c	8,808$3,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,543.8	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	41c	7,788$3,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,603.72	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	23c	7,638$1,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,909.58	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes	56c	6,767$3,766 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000.65	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+87.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No	29c	6,512$1,907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,907.37	169	69.2%117 W · 52 L	+17.6wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+13%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	26c	6,187$1,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,588.4	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	26c	6,054$1,565 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,489.1	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No	22c	5,784$1,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,253.48	234	64.5%151 W · 83 L	+23.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb33c…4ac3backed Yes	76c	5,688$4,316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,371.4	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	+153.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	13c	4,573$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,961.91	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	67c	4,482$2,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,987.86	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	40c	4,360$1,727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,633.07	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dad…5c37backed Yes	23c	4,339$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,339.06	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef02…02f8backed Yes	79c	4,239$3,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$889.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafcf…d662backed Yes	17c	4,139$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,449.81	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	13cpaid	+46%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	17c	4,000$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,340	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	25c	3,980$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,991.97	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…2082backed No	37c	3,912$1,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,447.41	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+93.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	22c	3,711$809 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,901.44	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6d…b4c7backed Yes	28c	3,575$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,587.5	124	29.8%37 W · 87 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7e…d49bbacked Yes	60c	3,533$2,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,407.32	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb5…bd80backed Yes	22c	3,501$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,715.95	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed No	15c	3,440$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	21c	3,410$717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,693.14	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes	23c	3,192$723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,469.44	344	27%93 W · 251 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No	29c	3,135$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.15	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+114.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	16c	3,128$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,630.36	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	33c	3,113$1,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,076.99	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e2…b8f5backed Yes	71c	3,094$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$893.61	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56b…f7c6backed Yes	28c	3,000$827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,172.63	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	26c	2,870$748 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,122.39	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf243…5fb4backed Yes	26c	2,649$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,959.29	64	15.6%10 W · 54 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x429b…2986backed Yes	16c	2,526$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,111.67	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3986…01fdbacked Yes	19c	2,493$479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,013.95	206	8.7%18 W · 188 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed7e…a908backed Yes	20c	2,488$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,987.72	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed No	4c	2,398$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.2	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Yes	64c	2,372$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$852.39	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaef1…4058backed Yes	26c	2,298$606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,692.39	264	10.6%28 W · 236 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked No	16c	2,251$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.1	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…3fb6backed Yes	26c	2,180$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,618.04	80	8.8%7 W · 73 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc43…abf5backed No	77c	2,171$1,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,664.13	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fed…d914backed Yes	69c	2,111$1,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$645.93	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x178e…00e6backed Yes	19c	2,100$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,701	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+121.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes	30c	2,008$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,399.97	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc168…5024backed Yes	33c	2,000$656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,344.48	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdafe…c673backed Yes	76c	2,000$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb392…0b80backed Yes	61c	1,972$1,201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.93	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc426…2700backed Yes	8c	1,923$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,778.76	67	6%4 W · 63 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	20c	1,825$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,467.15	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc289…f898backed Yes	32c	1,815$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,234.35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3bb…9107backed Yes	58c	1,785$1,031 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.99	110	14.5%16 W · 94 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd45…e49cbacked Yes	67c	1,771$1,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$577.06	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a5f…e63cbacked Yes	40c	1,731$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3103…ea70backed Yes	66c	1,712$1,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.74	139	26.6%37 W · 102 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes	21c	1,706$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,355.78	50	18%9 W · 41 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7369…59a1backed No	33c	1,654$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.03	65	27.7%18 W · 47 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	11c	1,648$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.34	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f96…e6a2backed Yes	30c	1,647$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,147.09	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+125.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x397d…b5a4backed Yes	21c	1,600$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,264	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.79per pick	21cpaid	+376.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1095…2650backed No	79c	1,600$1,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,264	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed No	10c	1,600$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd93…a22bbacked No	71c	1,571$1,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,108.58	198	19.7%39 W · 159 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9240…a7c7backed Yes	54c	1,555$841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.32	61	21.3%13 W · 48 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775e…bac9backed Yes	17c	1,551$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,287.67	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c16…bbcbbacked Yes	24c	1,515$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,156.49	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad78…6df3backed Yes	29c	1,500$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,065.73	244	12.7%31 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	5c	1,500$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,425.3	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee6…8af6backed Yes	39c	1,454$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$881.31	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes	5c	1,433$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,361.41	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+217.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aec…74fcbacked Yes	21c	1,411$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.49	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa1e…90f7backed Yes	66c	1,409$934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.68	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-4.0wins	-0.22per pick	45cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfee2…6580backed Yes	22c	1,400$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,097.98	210	28.6%60 W · 150 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No	64c	1,390$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890.13	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	73cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4113…9514backed Yes	56c	1,362$762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.68	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe828…5ceabacked No	14c	1,347$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.44	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xceb3…108ebacked Yes	26c	1,326$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$984.36	15	20%3 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked No	2c	1,300$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	27c	1,294$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$947.29	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Yes	19c	1,282$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,033.08	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x640b…978abacked Yes	70c	1,269$889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.98	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec36…9ae3backed Yes	34c	1,257$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$832.38	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4b…71f0backed Yes	31c	1,202$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$824.33	93	10.8%10 W · 83 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07bd…241bbacked Yes	32c	1,202$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816.81	69	10.1%7 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2af…c94bbacked Yes	33c	1,202$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.5	54	9.3%5 W · 49 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdffa…1ea3backed Yes	33c	1,201$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$807.55	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-30%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd036…8afdbacked No	16c	1,200$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe845…9fd8backed No	69c	1,128$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.11	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event