TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe23d…3c72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
423
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Music at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT20226.7%54 W · 148 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 202 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+3,690.9%+$7,207.24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.15
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$200
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$153.63
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.18
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$38.61
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$18.77
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$76.79
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$59.15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$53.99
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.94
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.91
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$84.79
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.57
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.54
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$140
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$244.58
Showing 25 of 202 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT6630.3%20 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.45
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.39
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$76.12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$72.21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+30.7%+$54.03
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 31-32°F on February 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$28.79
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on January 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23.79
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+101%+$20.1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30.79
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$127.16
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.4%+$16.52
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or higher on December 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$42.31
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 34°F or higher on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15.72
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$182.49
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$107.06
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$139.96
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$83.53
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$61.19
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on December 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+38.3%+$27.56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT517.8%4 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Augsburg: Henri Haupt vs Svyatoslav Gulinbacked Henri Haupt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Gilles Arnaud Bailly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.59
Roehampton 2: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Roehampton 2: Leonardo Rossi vs Charles Broombacked Leonardo Rossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.49
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonaldbacked Niels McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.12
Roehampton 2: Jay Dylan Friend vs Michael Geertsbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.55
Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardtbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
Roehampton 2: Alec Deckers vs Luca Potenzabacked Luca Potenza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Alec Beckleybacked Alec Beckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.94
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Luca Powbacked Luca Pow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Hugo Grenier vs Neil Oberleitnerbacked Neil Oberleitner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.8
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstatbacked Chun-Hsin Tseng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.8
Roehampton: Oliver Tarvet vs Lucas Poullainbacked Lucas Poullain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Lucas Poullainbacked Lui Maxted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.72
Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wongbacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Filsbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.66
Quebec City: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.23
Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Roehampton: Lui Maxted vs Gabi Boitanbacked Gabi Boitan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.95
Prague 2: Oleksii Krutykh vs Chun-Hsin Tsengbacked Oleksii Krutykh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Alex Hernandezbacked Alex Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.27
Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Prague 2: Cezar Cretu vs Maxim Mrvabacked Cezar Cretu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.83
Sion: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Alex Marti Pujolras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.94
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2740.7%11 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$128
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$126
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+194.1%+$131.97
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+203%+$134
Chargers vs. Broncosbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Jets vs. Billsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$124
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+316.7%+$152
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Saints vs. Titansbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$90
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+222.6%+$138
Patriots vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+177.8%+$127.99
Cardinals vs. Bengalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.31
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.13
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.81
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.9
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$144
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.48
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.32
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$851.04
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$261.56
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.07
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$42.96
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$58.21
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+301.3%+$95.35
All 24 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-60.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$789Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$789.3
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.4
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$279.29
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$118.56
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.03
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$296.07
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$111.31
Will "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$248.6
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+41.8%+$144.7
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+88.5%+$388.68
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$39.68
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$424.63
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+253.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.35
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$464.98
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+400%+$240
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$475
All 6 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$64.31
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.98
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+138.1%+$17.4
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33
All 5 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Portland Firebacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+900%+$270
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$29.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Cook Islands vs Vanuatubacked Vanuatu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.