Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Cook Islands vs Vanuatu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a002dc15014ebfb941d02ba5d2a5b6be026bdff4bbb443917531e7a6205f9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cook Islandsof Cook Islands, Vanuatu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Cook Islands | 57c | 2,770$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vanuatu | 35c | 2,222$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.72 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Cook Islands | 61c | 1,766$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Vanuatu | 43c | 1,717$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.15 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Vanuatu | 21c | 1,387$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.15 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vanuatu | 35c | 1,186$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.34 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…f824backed Cook Islands | 74c | 951.29$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cook Islands | 69c | 949.16$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.33 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Vanuatu | 18c | 869.96$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.09 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Vanuatu | 43c | 834.01$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.77 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Vanuatu | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Vanuatu | 34c | 472.05$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.53 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…91e4backed Cook Islands | 68c | 369.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Vanuatu | 29c | 307.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425c…c920backed Cook Islands | 65c | 222.35$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Vanuatu | 33c | 219.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Vanuatu | 35c | 206.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vanuatu | 33c | 203.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Vanuatu | 36c | 189.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Vanuatu | 25c | 180.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cca…192cbacked Cook Islands | 71c | 179.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Cook Islands | 66c | 170.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cook Islands | 65c | 156.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x147f…5f7bbacked Cook Islands | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Cook Islands | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Vanuatu | 34c | 144.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cook Islands | 79c | 140.85$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Vanuatu | 32c | 125.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…486ebacked Cook Islands | 80c | 111.1$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Vanuatu | 27c | 110.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vanuatu | 30c | 108.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vanuatu | 18c | 104.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Vanuatu | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vanuatu | 41c | 99.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Cook Islands | 55c | 93.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Cook Islands | 71c | 82.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Cook Islands | 64c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Cook Islands | 62c | 60.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…7a4dbacked Cook Islands | 66c | 60.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Vanuatu | 37c | 59.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Vanuatu | 36c | 55.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Cook Islands | 61c | 53.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…c425backed Vanuatu | 40c | 53.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Vanuatu | 38c | 50.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…6df6backed Vanuatu | 37c | 50.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Cook Islands | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0429…e069backed Cook Islands | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Cook Islands | 65c | 46.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Vanuatu | 41c | 43.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Cook Islands | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Cook Islands | 71c | 36.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…2c20backed Cook Islands | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd886…c006backed Cook Islands | 61c | 33.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Cook Islands | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Vanuatu | 37c | 32.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c4…f151backed Cook Islands | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Cook Islands | 61c | 29.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Cook Islands | 70c | 26.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…e91abacked Cook Islands | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Cook Islands | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9fd8backed Cook Islands | 57c | 18.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Cook Islands | 67c | 16.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…907fbacked Cook Islands | 63c | 15.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…c5f3backed Cook Islands | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8703…64cfbacked Cook Islands | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.