TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd886…c006

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT4070%28 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$399.44
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$244.68
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.43
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29.29
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$20.04
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.83
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.1
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$41.53
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$50.75
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$17.65
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$26.81
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.38
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.22
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.15
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.99
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.77
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.01
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.29
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$61.3
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.55
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$19.13
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.84
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$78.49
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.44
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+28%+$69.96
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.73
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Cook Islands vs Vanuatubacked Cook Islands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.25
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Multan Sultansbacked Multan Sultans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.63
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Karachi Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.01
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Peshawar Zalmibacked Peshawar Zalmi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$33.35
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Peshawar Zalmibacked Peshawar Zalmi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$33.41
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Karachi Kingsbacked Karachi Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$10.86
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Quetta Gladiatorsbacked Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.26
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.56
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFirebacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.39
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Stormbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$141.62
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Skybacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$74.11
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$64.8
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$76.16
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$195.35
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$89.88
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$61.89
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$13.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.