TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,491
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,491 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x228b…af4cbacked 76ers42c965.34$408 inWon+$557.181,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed 76ers52c961.54$500 inWon+$461.5495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Celtics50c670.61$335 inLost-$335.3135447.7%169 W · 185 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e5…008cbacked Celtics52c653.85$340 inLost-$3401643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Celtics52c640.38$333 inLost-$3334450%22 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed 76ers35c600$210 inWon+$39061638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Celtics35c517.33$180 inLost-$18028838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Celtics28c505.93$140 inLost-$14012048.3%58 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed 76ers47c502.63$238 inWon+$264.4669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers47c464$218 inWon+$245.922,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Celtics68c305.88$208 inLost-$2083444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed 76ers41c249.99$102 inWon+$147.4915246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed 76ers42c238.1$100 inWon+$138.122844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda06…75d9backed Celtics67c211$140 inLost-$140.481154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed 76ers74c200$148 inWon+$523953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880e…54edbacked 76ers23c191.3$44 inWon+$147.37458.1%43 W · 31 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed 76ers48c169.92$81 inWon+$89.0589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Celtics78c158$123 inLost-$123.3514959.7%89 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Celtics70c144.77$101 inLost-$101.3452230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked 76ers50c138.61$69 inWon+$69.3152052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics75c138.46$104 inLost-$103.851,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Celtics23c114.35$26 inLost-$25.7836243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked 76ers33c113.17$38 inWon+$75.6523741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed Celtics70c107.14$75 inLost-$751741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Celtics48c100.03$48 inLost-$48.0220247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Celtics51c99.99$51 inLost-$5116547.3%78 W · 87 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e1…65a4backed 76ers74c99.39$74 inWon+$25.844755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Celtics25c95.67$24 inLost-$23.9210651.9%55 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Celtics59c84.75$50 inLost-$5013342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b6…ef54backed Celtics65c76.92$50 inLost-$503351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa648…047ebacked Celtics56c71.43$40 inLost-$40540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked 76ers53c62.03$33 inWon+$29.1162047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd886…c006backed Celtics33c60.61$20 inLost-$204070%28 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked 76ers55c37$20 inWon+$16.6513036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed 76ers32c31.56$10 inWon+$21.5615146.4%70 W · 81 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed 76ers52c30.94$16 inWon+$14.8516429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics59c19.43$11 inLost-$11.462,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.