NBA · resolved market
Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80c0a23e682226de92c1b825461a28b0cca4ca7214b11547e3e8009c3ebb8619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked No | 66c | 3,694$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.3 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 54c | 1,403$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.42 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…03d1backed Yes | 1c | 975$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 46c | 800$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf2…fcecbacked Yes | 38c | 763.68$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…42a1backed Yes | 38c | 525$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes | 45c | 508.38$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.77 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 34c | 399.22$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Yes | 13c | 396$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 46c | 366.29$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Yes | 11c | 354.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Yes | 17c | 320$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 39c | 316.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Yes | 17c | 270$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Yes | 17c | 266$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339c…072dbacked Yes | 38c | 263.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 80 | 2.5%2 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 21c | 167$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Yes | 21c | 167$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 14c | 153.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Yes | 17c | 133$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 59c | 99.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 63c | 92.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed No | 66c | 91.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…d0cbbacked Yes | 38c | 74.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…a250backed Yes | 38c | 66.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…61a1backed Yes | 36c | 62.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Yes | 21c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Yes | 21c | 60.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked No | 54c | 57.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…943bbacked Yes | 54c | 55.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Yes | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Yes | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…31c1backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 62c | 23.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 10.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Celtics76ers won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 206.5Over won
- Derrick White: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 6.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.