TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Paul George: Points O/U 15.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,777 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c76…c926backed No48c420.6$202 inWon+$218.712,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No50c299.99$150 inWon+$15056050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes49c252.8$125 inLost-$1251020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-58.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No46c208.34$97 inWon+$111.6690863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a42…2fc2backed Yes51c197.96$100 inLost-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-62.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1495…d3f9backed Yes52c193.04$100 inLost-$10015048%72 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost-$1005259.6%31 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No50c164.49$83 inWon+$81.5843752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed No49c139.99$69 inWon+$71.49947.5%47 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4388…9ce4backed Yes53c112.45$59 inLost-$59.2519952.3%104 W · 95 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Yes52c95.68$50 inLost-$5011347.8%54 W · 59 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3066…98d9backed Yes54c92.13$50 inLost-$49.755251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b1f…4a6bbacked No47c90.71$43 inWon+$48.172737%10 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5345…666abacked Yes52c72.85$38 inLost-$37.816942%29 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked No54c71.85$38 inWon+$33.3621056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed No50c60$30 inWon+$3014953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2c3…d69ebacked Yes47c46.81$22 inLost-$22425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No49c44.1$22 inWon+$22.5526957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No49c40$20 inWon+$20.41,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c0…e44bbacked Yes51c40$20 inLost-$20.47443.2%32 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost-$2037344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No49c36.99$18 inWon+$18.9849852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf875…256cbacked Yes50c30$15 inLost-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Yes50c20$10 inLost-$1013764.2%88 W · 49 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed Yes50c20$10 inLost-$101323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-57.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.