TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed Under48c7,151$3,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,442.6529245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c6,774$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.564,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88017553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under50c4,980$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.6919937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c4,920$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.781,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under49c4,275$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.2561638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over51c4,231$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.9848845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over51c3,424$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.6482442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over56c3,066$1,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.6693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under49c2,261$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.9164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c2,063$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.082,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c1,980$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.121,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under48c1,815$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.4566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under50c1,471$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.481,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over52c1,317$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.3118650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over56c1,218$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.181,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53010049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53056646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c978.94$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.5889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c950.47$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.1469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under32c800$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over39c734$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.532,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over50c663.6$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Over53c660$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.21957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under47c601.42$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.6750346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed Over49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3061752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2948148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Under49c555$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.952740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under51c538$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.1352052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under53c499.33$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.646636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over42c492.79$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.962,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b61…78e8backed Under52c487.91$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.832437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over50c474$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2378450%42 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.714045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c468$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Over52c442.31$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.3112346.3%57 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under53c436.48$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.331,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under48c420$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.652951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Over51c411.76$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.76922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+66.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2086637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51a3…9c26backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1bfe…9408backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005637.5%21 W · 35 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Over68c400$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under50c399.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.91,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed Over52c380.12$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.482657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under50c375.14$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5722349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b8…e1a1backed Over48c356.84$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.849663.5%61 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over69c339.86$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3620651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under49c323.3$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.483,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed Over52c320$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.083767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under47c309.31$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3878648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14430641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under51c274.02$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.752045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over55c255.54$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.543455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over50c214.78$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3931222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a7a…9ca2backed Over50c214$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1072650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under50c210.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1821849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0829635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Over44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1124734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.088540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over53c190.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.578952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under53c188.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Over52c171.15$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1517848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under39c158.17$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6946959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Under50c139.54$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7737665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9a30…7b6cbacked Over49c134.08$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.381752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under29c129.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5830551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Over50c118.74$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6242740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfabc…7178backed Over52c104.38$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.18354.2%45 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4832957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5021653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb75a…67c4backed Over61c90$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over50c80.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.451,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191b…824abacked Over57c78.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.625253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under50c76.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3525651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfa…4b3bbacked Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.533262.5%20 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under50c73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.534247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a4…0368backed Over53c71.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over49c71.16$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2955751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under48c66.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.091,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb675…779fbacked Under48c66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.682520%5 W · 20 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-63%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x651c…9511backed Over46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x669d…f27abacked Under41c65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.333551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2914…aff6backed Over50c60.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9497…556fbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x945d…77aabacked Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.694443.2%19 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d8…0023backed Over52c57.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.662853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.