TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$724,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$743,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $724,876 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed 76ers58c395,650$229,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166,173.1166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics42c245,000$102,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,899.9972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Celtics42c162,707$68,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,209.816841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Celtics52c135,000$70,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,799.7420545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c5e…a114backed 76ers48c59,261$28,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,825.543554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed 76ers55c51,682$28,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,260.9845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed 76ers48c51,343$24,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,854.297650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed 76ers47c28,776$13,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,251.285848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Celtics50c20,500$10,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,224.9817055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Celtics49c15,653$7,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,603.681,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers58c14,510$8,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,112.692,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked 76ers47c10,143$4,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,360.110049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed 76ers59c8,553$5,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,506.736459.4%38 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Celtics42c6,350$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,66737539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed3…e972backed 76ers47c5,652$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.56862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed 76ers56c5,258$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.1565045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics43c5,217$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.776,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e60…0028backed 76ers55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed 76ers27c3,268$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,371.1220837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed 76ers59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23046426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked 76ers75c2,750$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.451,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed 76ers54c2,641$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.115352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics48c1,752$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.021,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed 76ers39c1,690$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.44746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked 76ers47c1,670$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.130446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics52c1,600$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.914,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked 76ers47c1,515$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.9512646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Celtics47c1,243$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.2116946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Celtics52c1,150$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5988951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Celtics47c1,070$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50318343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed 76ers57c1,060$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.8817643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed 76ers55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4506556.9%37 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Celtics52c999.99$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.656043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked 76ers47c999.96$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9825945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked 76ers55c921.41$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.6266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed 76ers57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1914727.9%41 W · 106 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed 76ers56c862.79$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.6328241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Celtics45c813.42$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.043644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Celtics43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Celtics32c688.15$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+66.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Celtics54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32416740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8227…0bccbacked 76ers57c552.38$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.521250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked 76ers74c502$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed 76ers59c497$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.7734850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Celtics45c495.56$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2234434.1%15 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa163…3ccbbacked Celtics13c494$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.613036.2%47 W · 83 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed 76ers59c437.59$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4114854.1%80 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked 76ers48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.674961.2%30 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Celtics42c395.39$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.111,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Celtics49c392.34$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked 76ers49c384.24$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.1122349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics51c358.16$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.662,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83f0…4209backed 76ers56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.144348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Celtics48c322.6$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7114153.9%76 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Celtics42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked 76ers56c281.89$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.038354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed 76ers47c281$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.932850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed 76ers47c274$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.227452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Celtics45c264.31$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.942352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…7e96backed 76ers57c260$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.85040%20 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked Celtics42c257.78$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.272356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Celtics45c243.42$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.961,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Celtics43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d36…f4cbbacked Celtics43c232.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.939346.2%43 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed 76ers44c226.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.114734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Celtics53c225$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3827450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6974…11b4backed 76ers58c221.9$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.22650%13 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Celtics47c214.64$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8876247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Celtics40c207.6$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed 76ers31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1384526.7%12 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked 76ers31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1387326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers80c195.75$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.152,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Celtics53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41cc…26eabacked 76ers60c175$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed 76ers47c172.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0217748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8137…ccadbacked 76ers57c170.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.188452.4%44 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e4…92bbbacked 76ers59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.494042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7708…42cbbacked 76ers60c168.45$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.841822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d53…e7aabacked Celtics36c167.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607546.7%35 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed 76ers46c163$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6853945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Celtics47c148.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.821,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a6…6d3cbacked Celtics42c142.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-71.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1937…4520backed 76ers55c140$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers48c124.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.72,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c4…db17backed Celtics42c119.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.32568%17 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked 76ers59c114.81$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0759250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed 76ers43c110$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6223649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Celtics53c107.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577243.1%31 W · 41 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked Celtics52c101.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538555.3%47 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Celtics53c101.89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5440541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked 76ers71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2910651.9%55 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed 76ers65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3514059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed 76ers34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6626639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Celtics46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4632957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed 76ers59c97.02$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7821354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e02…5ddabacked Celtics52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-62.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15fb…e26abacked Celtics54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9320…49c6backed 76ers58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed 76ers34c86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7623441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ef6…9b93backed 76ers59c84.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.478456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.