TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$257,344
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$273,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,344 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1333…e463backed Celtics51c85,000$43,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,349.944438.6%17 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed 76ers51c43,140$22,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,138.4643148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Celtics43c39,272$16,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,980.686152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Celtics49c36,639$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,00042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Celtics48c24,486$11,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,753.3816841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed 76ers49c20,408$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,408.163540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Celtics51c19,999$10,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.3436359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed 76ers49c18,483$9,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,426.2240350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked 76ers49c11,450$5,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,782.695442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked 76ers69c11,000$7,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4101,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed 76ers52c10,500$5,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,04010248%49 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1026…1fddbacked 76ers49c10,204$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 76ers52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80048845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked 76ers52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.386144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed 76ers52c8,711$4,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,181.115345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics49c7,375$3,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,613.644,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked 76ers49c6,939$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.7838946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed 76ers52c6,666$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.6811864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed 76ers49c6,327$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,226.5321943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed3…e972backed 76ers49c5,940$2,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc68d…e039backed 76ers49c5,618$2,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,865.371040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed 76ers49c5,306$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.123943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Celtics49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Celtics50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed 76ers49c3,961$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.915543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked 76ers49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.2214251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf83…248bbacked 76ers49c2,988$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.881643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd458…1c90backed 76ers52c2,692$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed 76ers49c2,672$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.8365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed 76ers51c2,292$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.6369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0e…73a2backed Celtics50c2,150$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 76ers49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0202,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed 76ers49c1,939$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.789447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers48c1,813$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.781,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e2…8433backed Celtics49c1,582$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed 76ers49c1,227$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.7716946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers51c1,200$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.541,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed 76ers52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57617551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed 76ers51c1,200$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58425657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers50c1,189$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.711,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed 76ers50c1,074$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.7637627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed 76ers52c1,061$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.2911440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed 76ers49c1,033$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.6518343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked 76ers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7253…5fa2backed 76ers52c889.27$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.852657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers51c722.94$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.242,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed 76ers49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3578148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers72c618.44$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.933,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers48c614.85$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.812,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Celtics49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed 76ers52c537.73$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.588744.8%39 W · 48 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Celtics13c514.94$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.391,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8053…2a8ebacked Celtics49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed 76ers59c509.32$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.293767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked 76ers50c460$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23062051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Celtics49c405$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4545251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea9…a420backed Celtics25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Celtics49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19611451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked 76ers52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6244052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed 76ers51c360.1$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.451,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Celtics42c357.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers51c354.41$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.661,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Celtics49c354.41$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6622349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Celtics52c344$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.884546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Celtics40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed 76ers50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed 76ers51c235.74$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.514156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked 76ers52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.775549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Celtics52c211.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11036248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Celtics50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked 76ers51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9821653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eed…cf44backed 76ers49c197.96$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.962142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4d…2b6abacked Celtics50c196$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed Celtics39c192.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Celtics35c143$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0517852.2%93 W · 85 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b8d…6724backed Celtics52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.423140.3%93 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Celtics50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa288…8a1dbacked Celtics20c109.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked 76ers60c101.43$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.873568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed 76ers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4966153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3092…789abacked 76ers51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed 76ers52c97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.563857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed 76ers52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1551651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Celtics50c88.17$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8740541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed 76ers80c85.5$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.133159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed 76ers51c78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x398c…b9d8backed Celtics44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303040%12 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed 76ers78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.146959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb14d…8f95backed 76ers52c63.19$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.334431.8%14 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed 76ers52c62.85$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1738751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed 76ers49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2266046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb817…bdc7backed Celtics42c58.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Celtics49c52.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.551,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked 76ers52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2423445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed 76ers49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.521743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e3a…7bdcbacked 76ers49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54658.7%27 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked 76ers52c40.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.381,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Celtics50c40.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.171,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.