TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 205.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$764,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$787,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $764,125 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over50c200,000$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,00032653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Under50c134,924$67,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,461.98038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Over49c130,466$63,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,537.6837627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Over51c86,777$44,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,520.974546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Under50c80,032$40,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,0008452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under51c61,150$31,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,287.4920744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under51c38,717$19,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,745.5414842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under48c22,839$11,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,034.871,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over49c20,408$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,408.169945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c20,076$10,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,965.6864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c17,857$8,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,866.974,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under55c15,581$8,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,630.917251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under51c15,399$7,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,9171,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c14,173$6,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,856.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under50c14,068$7,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0343540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c12,271$6,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,180.665045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over49c10,768$5,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,491.6848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under51c10,160$5,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,181.628643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.9649244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c9,037$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,627.722,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under51c8,990$4,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,583.0669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over48c8,253$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,252.67963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under50c8,187$4,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,093.265345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Under52c8,142$4,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,234.0729245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c4f…85fdbacked Under49c7,482$3,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,666333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under50c6,758$3,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,378.945442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under50c6,666$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3331968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under50c6,380$3,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1903641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under50c6,182$3,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.8843348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over51c5,800$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,841.9938434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under49c5,633$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7605940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under49c5,504$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.9614441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c5,478$2,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,734.081,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Under52c5,130$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.5910949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over46c4,974$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,685.8166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed3…e972backed Over49c4,619$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.69862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over49c4,289$2,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.3918444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under43c4,189$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.0961638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.6718349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under49c4,138$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.226636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46c4…1563backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over45c3,725$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.573,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Under61c3,616$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2006357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Under50c3,350$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.132560%15 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cc8…e458backed Under51c3,149$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.078634.9%30 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Under2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+151.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under52c2,884$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.6611946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over49c2,851$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.0537355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under49c2,608$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.8219650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c2,583$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.946,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under52c2,524$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.319937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c2,425$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.423,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d0…5a98backed Over52c2,212$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.544257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under51c2,132$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.3276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over48c2,073$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.7611034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Under55c2,038$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.284351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid+124.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c1,989$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.621,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c1,930$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.4289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0856453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0869049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0347…7e7abacked Under49c1,900$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9311040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Under49c1,836$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.845354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c1,791$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over53c1,575$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.2417042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under51c1,574$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.7238947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under3c1,500$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5420%0 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under3c1,500$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Under3c1,500$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.754126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Over51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7351942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c1,481$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.834,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under50c1,436$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.991,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under52c1,400$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.2127450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under50c1,378$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.0368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c1,343$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.072,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under50c1,216$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60816946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over51c1,192$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.8532351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under51c1,133$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9814845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf233…589dbacked Under49c1,122$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.892653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under50c1,111$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.1245251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53916849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under51c1,073$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.2356843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under49c1,033$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50618343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c1,030$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.861,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under49c1,002$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.925343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%0 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba3…9a44backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202020%4 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49073051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under51c999.98$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9935049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91dc…7663backed Over49c999.98$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.992548%12 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c997.36$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.52,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c980.03$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.9762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over59c959.83$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.1645445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under46c914.79$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.8534255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.