TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,110 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Celtics65c2,608$1,696 inLost-$1,696.3150346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked 76ers35c2,233$784 inWon+$1,448.8814953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Celtics59c2,158$1,274 inLost-$1,274.062,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Celtics62c1,953$1,210 inLost-$1,2105050%25 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed 76ers70c1,680$1,176 inWon+$504.1761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed 76ers41c1,227$500 inWon+$727.0511440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed 76ers41c1,072$440 inWon+$632.5511864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Celtics10c921.45$92 inLost-$92.441,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Celtics12c439.56$55 inLost-$54.7976653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Celtics59c428.34$253 inLost-$252.632,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Celtics60c319$191 inLost-$191.456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked 76ers35c265.86$92 inWon+$173.698354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed 76ers42c250$105 inWon+$14514940.3%60 W · 89 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Celtics18c250$45 inLost-$4522036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0b…bfc2backed 76ers41c243.9$100 inWon+$143.94946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers41c226.53$92 inWon+$134.091,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed 76ers34c147.06$50 inWon+$97.0622844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 76ers76c127.18$96 inWon+$31.131,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked 76ers41c112.2$46 inWon+$66.213754%74 W · 63 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc574…b9dabacked 76ers40c102.65$41 inWon+$61.656033.3%20 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Celtics60c96.65$58 inLost-$57.9969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 76ers76c81.71$62 inWon+$19.3632654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Celtics63c79.99$50 inLost-$5026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ed…041bbacked Celtics28c75.5$21 inLost-$21.144434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Celtics61c68.16$42 inLost-$41.586132.8%20 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed 76ers73c65.53$48 inWon+$17.535259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f4…4763backed 76ers70c64.29$45 inWon+$19.291947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca3…be8ebacked 76ers41c41.46$17 inWon+$24.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2405…be9dbacked 76ers35c37.14$13 inWon+$24.141741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Celtics61c32.79$20 inLost-$209153.8%49 W · 42 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Celtics59c32.2$19 inLost-$195347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics65c25.71$17 inLost-$16.711,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Celtics67c25$17 inLost-$16.755343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed 76ers75c23.04$17 inWon+$5.8613950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe48…d9aebacked Celtics65c22.38$15 inLost-$14.641233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x611d…3ca7backed 76ers59c22.15$13 inWon+$8.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed 76ers80c20$16 inWon+$410743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed Celtics67c20$13 inLost-$13.41323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-57.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.