TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 105.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,779 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c12,094$6,047 inLost-$6,046.8669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Under50c3,800$1,900 inWon+$1,9003943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under50c3,504$1,752 inWon+$1,751.825442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ac5…cd3dbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon+$1,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf003…08cdbacked Under50c1,460$730 inWon+$7301457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under50c1,332$666 inWon+$6663641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under50c1,200$600 inWon+$60027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c800$400 inLost-$4001,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over50c400$200 inLost-$20062051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over59c343.37$202 inLost-$202.4493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under40c317$127 inWon+$190.252230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost-$10013342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c183.35$88 inWon+$94.8650346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c172.03$85 inWon+$86.882,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under50c110$55 inWon+$5514946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Over51c105.88$54 inLost-$5442740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Under52c96.69$50 inWon+$46.693354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0514…def7backed Over49c79.59$39 inLost-$393855.3%21 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Over50c78.28$39 inLost-$39.1419445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Over51c73.04$37 inLost-$37.2510847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over50c42$21 inLost-$20.934850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c40.46$20 inLost-$19.831,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under52c36.06$19 inWon+$17.311560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e3a…7bdcbacked Under48c34.62$17 inWon+$184658.7%27 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Over50c32$16 inLost-$162347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f01dbacked Under50c29.75$15 inWon+$14.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Over52c20.37$11 inLost-$10.5921056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.