TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,167,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,213,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,167,606 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers50c353,000$175,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177,9104,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Celtics50c327,468$163,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163,204.6569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed 76ers57c219,647$124,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,083.3564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Celtics51c169,316$86,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,351.2115545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Celtics34c164,991$56,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,096.8672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Celtics43c87,384$37,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,575.3329245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked 76ers66c70,000$46,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,80020758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed 76ers55c51,018$27,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,060.8636359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked 76ers51c40,000$20,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,80012639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed 76ers51c30,003$15,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,696.681,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Celtics47c20,400$9,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,587.9821549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics27c15,883$4,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,354.983,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Celtics48c15,244$7,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,317.11,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed 76ers57c14,298$8,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,148.25850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics35c10,682$3,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,701.916,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Celtics15c10,661$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.252,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Celtics50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-62.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked 76ers58c9,822$5,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,125.247869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3800…1715backed Celtics50c9,800$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,900450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Celtics42c8,888$3,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,755.156028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked 76ers50c8,721$4,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.6516743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Celtics50c8,600$4,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,27214946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed 76ers79c8,547$6,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.2311864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed 76ers52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,84089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6734…2e18backed 76ers66c7,576$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.767459.5%44 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14fa…cfb0backed Celtics50c6,996$3,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,498560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Celtics43c6,864$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.5224942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Celtics40c6,777$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,743.216039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Celtics50c6,622$3,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,311.095442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics48c6,234$2,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,966.954,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics25c5,942$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.738,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked 76ers49c5,571$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,841.435940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed 76ers57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.162850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed 76ers48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.993951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39cf…f964backed 76ers64c4,688$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.53243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46c4…1563backed 76ers53c4,528$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Celtics50c4,236$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,11814441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xddd5…ec9ebacked 76ers53c4,001$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.471546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed 76ers50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00017441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed 76ers54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8405352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Celtics50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Celtics52c2,852$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48317247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics49c2,793$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.121,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed 76ers48c2,781$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.4865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed 76ers57c2,600$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11833945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8d…95b0backed 76ers54c2,566$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.744245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked 76ers50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked 76ers52c2,435$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.627054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed 76ers57c2,222$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.4676249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Celtics46c2,165$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.5366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed 76ers49c2,040$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.44264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed 76ers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00016249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Celtics44c1,935$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.2962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3772…1dc6backed Celtics52c1,827$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed7…03c6backed 76ers49c1,803$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Celtics32c1,740$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55220537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed 76ers50c1,586$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.8220051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Celtics52c1,538$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80021152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…0e69backed 76ers66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-41.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed 76ers67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49595848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked 76ers48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed 76ers51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.9273051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8004…d0f1backed 76ers52c1,494$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.238055%44 W · 36 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Celtics42c1,467$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.238947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked 76ers48c1,455$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.4143352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed 76ers52c1,442$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.2124247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe0…a3fabacked Celtics17c1,342$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.14450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+116.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Celtics18c1,331$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2337452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Celtics49c1,291$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6302,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd8…7867backed 76ers66c1,271$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.21683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+61.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4240…7a20backed 76ers51c1,250$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Celtics16c1,223$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6830842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Celtics50c1,217$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.516946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Celtics52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed 76ers49c1,151$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.23475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed 76ers52c1,130$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.47452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed 76ers53c1,100$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed 76ers50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55016849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8a…a5bcbacked 76ers49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.418242.7%35 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Celtics50c1,020$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.818643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed 76ers79c1,013$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6681845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed 76ers49c1,009$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.5320154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed 76ers49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8c…85fbbacked 76ers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed 76ers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50011451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…dd47backed Celtics52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked 76ers64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Celtics51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Celtics50c998.58$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.6834850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Celtics52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Celtics41c921.08$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.727645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed 76ers54c910$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.614727.9%41 W · 106 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked 76ers48c900$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46811556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed 76ers52c890$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.6337355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Celtics6c828.28$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Celtics51c825.07$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.7544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed 76ers52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38425657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Celtics15c793.9$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.315036%18 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked 76ers55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.274548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.