TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,057 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2735…42ebbacked Celtics52c22,509$11,630 inLost-$11,629.823441.2%14 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed 76ers47c14,476$6,863 inWon+$7,613.1769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked 76ers50c5,992$2,996 inWon+$2,99617052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers50c1,213$607 inWon+$606.593,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Celtics51c999.99$510 inLost-$5104540%18 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed 76ers49c969.38$475 inWon+$494.3830551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed 76ers49c541.58$264 inWon+$277.8761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers50c500$250 inWon+$2502,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed 76ers53c409.43$217 inWon+$192.4322036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Celtics55c363.64$200 inLost-$20095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed 76ers51c205.42$105 inWon+$100.6489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Celtics49c195.34$96 inLost-$96.021,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Celtics49c162.9$80 inLost-$8022844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed 76ers51c162.9$83 inWon+$8037665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed 76ers50c100$50 inWon+$5024248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Celtics54c92.59$50 inLost-$504358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed 76ers50c70$35 inWon+$359949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked 76ers50c70$35 inWon+$359748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed 76ers47c62.49$29 inWon+$33.1219445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef4a…5eebbacked Celtics53c60.08$32 inLost-$31.841315.4%2 W · 11 L-5.1wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-74.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb675…779fbacked Celtics55c42$23 inLost-$23.092520%5 W · 20 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-63%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed 76ers50c40.82$20 inWon+$20.4122143.4%96 W · 125 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked 76ers50c20$10 inWon+$1010656.6%60 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.