TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb675…779f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2520%5 W · 20 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-63%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.52
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.92
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.09
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 204.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.68
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.45
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.29
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$44.89
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.93
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.44
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.52
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.72
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$103.71
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.06
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.2
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$51.03
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+308.2%+$56.63
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$25.6
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.58
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$86.33
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$76
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.73
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.19
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)backed New England Revolution · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$36.2
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Inter Miami CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: IK Start (-1.5)backed IK Start · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.62
Spread: SC Heerenveen (-2.5)backed Fortuna Sittard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Pachuca vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)backed AJ Auxerre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)backed 1. FC Union Berlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)backed Central Coast Mariners FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.