NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3afa123f87bfb549ab9a14497a5d2a81ec356d662ca97e86da419093fcdbaf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $359,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $351,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Pistons | 47c | 49,921$23,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,458.14 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Magic | 54c | 43,922$23,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,838.59 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Magic | 54c | 39,313$21,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,228.93 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 51c | 23,325$11,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,893.48 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Pistons | 46c | 21,130$9,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,410.07 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Pistons | 46c | 21,000$9,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,340 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Pistons | 47c | 20,042$9,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,622.12 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Magic | 53c | 18,961$10,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,049.11 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 50c | 17,853$8,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,904.87 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…d7d0backed Magic | 53c | 16,422$8,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,703.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons | 46c | 15,356$7,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,292.45 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pistons | 51c | 12,171$6,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,963.85 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 46c | 9,750$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,265.09 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Magic | 54c | 9,646$5,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,208.95 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 46c | 9,120$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.02 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 48c | 9,097$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,736.75 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 46c | 8,527$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Pistons | 47c | 7,777$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,155.14 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 46c | 7,413$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 46c | 7,395$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.28 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 50c | 6,483$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Magic | 54c | 5,866$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.7 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Magic | 53c | 4,859$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.27 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Magic | 49c | 4,847$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.03 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pistons | 51c | 4,816$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.04 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Magic | 54c | 4,502$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Magic | 50c | 3,239$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.33 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Magic | 49c | 3,204$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.1 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Magic | 54c | 3,018$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.74 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pistons | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Pistons | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons | 46c | 2,995$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.13 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Pistons | 50c | 2,784$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.15 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 52c | 2,323$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.8 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Magic | 53c | 2,300$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 20c | 2,019$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Magic | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Magic | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons | 53c | 1,967$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.17 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Magic | 9c | 1,951$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.11 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…69f7backed Magic | 54c | 1,930$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Magic | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.98 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Magic | 49c | 1,860$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.63 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d0…5a98backed Magic | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6441…4e5bbacked Magic | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 55cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked Magic | 54c | 1,757$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.09 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Magic | 53c | 1,650$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.62 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Pistons | 47c | 1,599$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.29 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Magic | 39c | 1,583$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.66 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Magic | 54c | 1,459$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.64 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Magic | 54c | 1,441$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.92 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Magic | 53c | 1,158$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.63 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Magic | 55c | 1,147$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.64 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Magic | 46c | 1,099$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.63 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Magic | 3c | 1,068$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed Magic | 54c | 1,060$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Pistons | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Magic | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Magic | 48c | 999.92$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.96 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Magic | 55c | 989.66$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.39 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pistons | 52c | 982.88$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.37 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pistons | 46c | 974.92$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.46 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Magic | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Magic | 49c | 969.4$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.01 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Pistons | 54c | 968.51$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.51 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Magic | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Magic | 53c | 894.79$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.24 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Magic | 49c | 791.35$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.76 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Magic | 52c | 762.49$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.12 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Magic | 49c | 751.78$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.37 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Magic | 53c | 739.97$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.57 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Magic | 54c | 729.3$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.82 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…036ebacked Magic | 2c | 710$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pistons | 51c | 702.85$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.1 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Pistons | 47c | 619.65$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.41 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Pistons | 47c | 618$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.54 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Pistons | 48c | 611.38$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.82 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Pistons | 50c | 582.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.95 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked Magic | 12c | 569.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Magic | 50c | 556.76$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.4 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…ea06backed Magic | 49c | 536.61$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.94 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Pistons | 47c | 529.42$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.59 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5871…0defbacked Pistons | 47c | 504.08$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.16 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Pistons | 48c | 501.03$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.54 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Pistons | 47c | 486.16$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.66 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Magic | 51c | 473.66$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.71 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Magic | 54c | 452.2$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Magic | 54c | 444.78$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.18 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Magic | 11c | 435.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +1,317.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Pistons | 45c | 426.91$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.47 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Magic | 53c | 424.82$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Pistons | 53c | 415.05$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.15 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Pistons | 47c | 412$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.36 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5429…0afdbacked Magic | 54c | 411.34$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Magic | 53c | 403.39$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…b757backed Magic | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…1b24backed Pistons | 47c | 390.37$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Pistons | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Pistons | 48c | 369.36$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.06 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +57%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Magic | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Magic won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Magic vs. PistonsPistons won
- Magic vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 193.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 194.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 196.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 198.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 200.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-21.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-25.5)Magic won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.